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FC Chernihiv vs Kolos Kovalivka 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga Chernihiv Stadium, Černihiv
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Chernihiv host Kolos Kovalivka 2 in the Persha Liga. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: FC Chernihiv at 1.19 goals for, 1.41 against; Kolos Kovalivka 2 at 1.45 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor FC Chernihiv slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 18, 2025, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.31, favoring Kolos Kovalivka 2. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
FC Chernihiv
15%
Draws
46%
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kolos Kovalivka 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kolos Kovalivka 2 come out ahead of FC Chernihiv on wins alone.
  • FC Chernihiv are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
FC Chernihiv Clean Sheet 18%
Kolos Kovalivka 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Chernihiv Kolos Kovalivka 2
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.19 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2025 Druha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs Kolos Kovalivka 2
2:0
Oct 6, 2024 Druha Liga
Kolos Kovalivka 2 vs FC Chernihiv
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Chernihiv 41 / 100
Kolos Kovalivka 2 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Chernihiv Kolos Kovalivka 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Chernihiv found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Kolos Kovalivka 2 let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: FC Chernihiv stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Chernihiv VS Kolos Kovalivka 2
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Chernihiv

(Home)
17 Oct
Victoria
2 : 1
FC Chernihiv
11 Oct
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 1
FC Chernihiv
06 Oct
Trostyanets
2 : 4
FC Chernihiv
02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0
FC Chernihiv
Page 1 of 6

Kolos Kovalivka 2

(Away)
17 Oct
Kolos Kovalivka 2
0 : 0
UCSA
11 Oct
Nyva Ternopil
3 : 1
Kolos Kovalivka 2
04 Oct
Kolos Kovalivka 2
0 : 2
Oleksandriya
28 Sept
Zhytomyr 2
0 : 3
Kolos Kovalivka 2
19 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka 2
4 : 2
Probiy Horodenka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 12 7 3 2 16:9 24
2 Fenix Mariupol 13 7 3 3 20:13 24
3 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 12 7 2 3 19:14 23
4 Kulikiv 12 6 3 3 25:14 21
5 SC Poltava 12 6 3 3 22:10 21
6 Oleksandriya 12 5 5 2 17:11 20
7 Lokomotyv Kyiv 12 4 5 3 15:13 17
8 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 12 4 3 5 12:14 15
9 Metalist Kharkiv 13 4 3 6 13:16 15
10 Nyva Ternopil 12 3 6 3 12:10 15
11 Inhulets 11 4 2 5 11:16 14
12 Kolos Kovalivka 2 12 4 1 7 12:20 13
13 UCSA 12 2 5 5 15:19 11
14 FC Chernihiv 11 2 4 5 12:16 10
15 Probiy Horodenka 12 2 3 7 12:30 9
16 Zhytomyr 2 12 1 5 6 17:25 8
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)