Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Chernihiv vs Vorskla Poltava

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 Chernihiv Arena, Chernihiv
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Potskhveria I.
41' Event
Baydal A.
84' Event
Koydan V.

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga 2025/2026 game between FC Chernihiv and Vorskla Poltava finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vorskla Poltava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Chernihiv
33%
Draws
27%
Vorskla Poltava
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FC Chernihiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Chernihiv come out ahead of Vorskla Poltava on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on FC Chernihiv taking it.
  • Regular Persha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
FC Chernihiv Clean Sheet 68%
Vorskla Poltava Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Chernihiv Vorskla Poltava
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Persha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs Vorskla Poltava
1:2
Oct 8, 2025 Persha Liga
Vorskla Poltava vs FC Chernihiv
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Chernihiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Koydan V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Vorskla Poltava Compare

Top Goalscorer Potskhveria I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baydal A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Chernihiv 50 / 100
Vorskla Poltava 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Chernihiv Vorskla Poltava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vorskla Poltava has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Attacking prowess: FC Chernihiv scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

FC Chernihiv went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Chernihiv VS Vorskla Poltava
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Chernihiv

(Home)
18 Jul
Livyi Bereg
2 : 1
FC Chernihiv
15 Jul
Obolon
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
01 Jun
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0
FC Chernihiv
29 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 0
FC Chernihiv
26 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2
Metalist Kharkiv
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Vorskla Poltava

(Away)
30 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
23 May
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 1
Vorskla Poltava
17 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1
Metalist Kharkiv
09 May
Bukovyna
6 : 0
Vorskla Poltava
03 May
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1
Livyi Bereg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bukovyna30263174:2181
2Ch. Odesa30198344:2065
3Livyi Bereg30196550:2163
4Ahrobiznes Volochysk30165936:2853
5Inhulets301210841:3246
6Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)309101133:3337
7Metalist Kharkiv301071331:3537
8Probiy Horodenka301061429:3736
9Fenix Mariupol30991231:3236
10Victoria301061437:3836
11UCSA301061430:4036
12Nyva Ternopil308101224:3434
13FC Chernihiv30871530:3631
14Vorskla Poltava30791423:3630
15FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi30491720:4521
16MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya30471916:6119
17Minaj00000:00
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