Sport Picks
FC Chernihiv vs Vorskla Poltava
Ukraine
Persha Liga 2025/2026 Chernihiv Arena, Chernihiv 
Match Events
9'
9'
Potskhveria I.
41'
41'
Baydal A.
84'
84'
Koydan V.
AI Match Summary
The Persha Liga 2025/2026 game between FC Chernihiv and Vorskla Poltava finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vorskla Poltava.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Chernihiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and FC Chernihiv come out ahead of Vorskla Poltava on wins alone.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on FC Chernihiv taking it.
- Regular Persha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
FC Chernihiv Clean Sheet 68%
Vorskla Poltava Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Chernihiv | Vorskla Poltava |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 26 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 0.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Persha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs Vorskla Poltava
1:2
Oct 8, 2025 Persha Liga
Vorskla Poltava vs FC Chernihiv
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Chernihiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Koydan V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Vorskla Poltava Compare
Top Goalscorer Potskhveria I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Baydal A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Chernihiv 59 / 100
Vorskla Poltava 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Chernihiv Vorskla Poltava
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Chernihiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vorskla Poltava has conceded goals in 81% of their last 26 outings.
Attacking prowess: FC Chernihiv scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
FC Chernihiv went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Chernihiv VS Vorskla Poltava
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Chernihiv
(Home) 27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0 FC Chernihiv
11 Sept
UCSA
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
05 Sept
FC Chernihiv
1 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
29 Aug
Oleksandriya
1 : 0 FC Chernihiv
23 Aug
LSTM Lutsk
1 : 2 FC Chernihiv
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
FC Chernihiv
1 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
15 Aug
FC Chernihiv
2 : 2 Zhytomyr 2
01 Aug
FC Chernihiv
1 : 1 Kulikiv
26 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2 Metalist Kharkiv
23 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2 Inhulets
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Vorskla Poltava
(Away) 30 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
23 May
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 1 Vorskla Poltava
17 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
09 May
Bukovyna
6 : 0 Vorskla Poltava
03 May
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1 Livyi Bereg
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 1 Vorskla Poltava
09 May
Bukovyna
6 : 0 Vorskla Poltava
26 Apr
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2 Vorskla Poltava
12 Apr
Victoria
1 : 0 Vorskla Poltava
04 Apr
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
2 : 0 Vorskla Poltava
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bukovyna | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 74:21 | 81 |
| 2 | Ch. Odesa | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 44:20 | 65 |
| 3 | Livyi Bereg | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 50:21 | 63 |
| 4 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 36:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Inhulets | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:33 | 37 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 31:35 | 37 |
| 8 | Probiy Horodenka | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Fenix Mariupol | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:32 | 36 |
| 10 | Victoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:38 | 36 |
| 11 | UCSA | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 30:40 | 36 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 24:34 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Chernihiv | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30:36 | 31 |
| 14 | Vorskla Poltava | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 23:36 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20:45 | 21 |
| 16 | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 16:61 | 19 |
| 17 | Minaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)
