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FC Chertanovo Moscow W vs Krasnodar W

Russia Russia

Russia Cup Women 2025 Chertanovo Arena
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Match Events

8' Event
Boldyreva M.
90' Event
Organova P.

AI Match Summary

The Russia Cup Women 2025 game between FC Chertanovo Moscow W and Krasnodar W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Krasnodar W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FC Chertanovo Moscow W
39%
Draws
30%
Krasnodar W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Chertanovo Moscow W's 1.63 goals per match outpaces what Krasnodar W have produced (0.5).
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Cup games in Russia Cup Women 2025 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
FC Chertanovo Moscow W Clean Sheet 20%
Krasnodar W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Chertanovo Moscow W Krasnodar W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.63 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Supreme Division Women
Krasnodar W vs FC Chertanovo Moscow W
1:3
Nov 8, 2025 Supreme Division Women
FC Chertanovo Moscow W vs Krasnodar W
0:1
Jul 7, 2025 Russia Cup Women
FC Chertanovo Moscow W vs Krasnodar W
0:2
Jun 21, 2025 Supreme Division Women
Krasnodar W vs FC Chertanovo Moscow W
0:2
Sep 14, 2024 Supreme Division Women
FC Chertanovo Moscow W vs Krasnodar W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Chertanovo Moscow W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Krasnodar W Compare

Top Goalscorer Boldyreva M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Organova P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Chertanovo Moscow W 32 / 100
Krasnodar W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Chertanovo Moscow W Krasnodar W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krasnodar W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Away concern: Krasnodar W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

FC Chertanovo Moscow W's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FC Chertanovo Moscow W VS Krasnodar W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk W1
FK Rostov W2
Master Saturn Egorievsk W0
Zenit St Petersburg W3
Akademiya Tambov W0
Lokomotiv Moscow W12
Zvezda 2005 W0
Ryazan W1
FC Chertanovo Moscow W0
Krasnodar W2
Ural W0
CSKA Moscow W8
Spartak Moscow W5
Rubin Kazan W1
Dynamo Moscow W0
Krylya Sovetov Samara W2
Quarter-finals
FK Rostov W0
Zenit St Petersburg W2
Lokomotiv Moscow W3
Ryazan W1
Krasnodar W0
CSKA Moscow W4
Spartak Moscow W1
Krylya Sovetov Samara W0
Semi-finals
Zenit St Petersburg W5
Lokomotiv Moscow W3
CSKA Moscow W4
Spartak Moscow W2
Final
Zenit St Petersburg W0
CSKA Moscow W1