Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Cienfuegos vs FC Villa Clara

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Villa Clara in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Villa Clara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
FC Cienfuegos
30%
Draws
34%
FC Villa Clara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Cienfuegos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Cienfuegos have won more games recently than FC Villa Clara.
  • Win probability leans FC Cienfuegos's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
FC Cienfuegos Clean Sheet 20%
FC Villa Clara Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cienfuegos FC Villa Clara
Matches Played 39 31
Wins 20 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs FC Villa Clara
0:1
May 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Villa Clara vs FC Cienfuegos
2:2
Apr 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs FC Villa Clara
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Villa Clara vs FC Cienfuegos
1:2
Feb 25, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs FC Villa Clara
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cienfuegos 36 / 100
FC Villa Clara 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cienfuegos FC Villa Clara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cienfuegos scored in 74% of their last 39 games.

FC Villa Clara let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: FC Cienfuegos stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Cienfuegos VS FC Villa Clara
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cienfuegos

(Home)
14 Jun
FC Cienfuegos
0 : 1
FC Villa Clara
07 Jun
Matanzas
1 : 2
FC Cienfuegos
24 May
Mayabeque Guines
0 : 3
FC Cienfuegos
17 May
FC Cienfuegos
2 : 2
Mayabeque Guines
10 May
FC Cienfuegos
1 : 0
Matanzas
Page 1 of 8

FC Villa Clara

(Away)
09 Jul
FC Villa Clara
1 : 1
Artemisa
05 Jul
Artemisa
2 : 3
FC Villa Clara
14 Jun
FC Cienfuegos
0 : 1
FC Villa Clara
07 Jun
FC Villa Clara
3 : 0
Mayabeque Guines
24 May
FC Villa Clara
1 : 0
Matanzas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC La Habana1173121:1224
2Artemisa1244418:1916
3Isla de La Juventud1132610:1611
4Pinar del Rio1023511:139
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos1264220:1122
2FC Villa Clara1264216:722
3Matanzas1233610:1312
4Mayabeque Guines1223711:269
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Las Tunas1271420:1322
2FC Ciego de Avila1262416:920
3FC Camaguey1152417:1417
4FC Sancti Spiritus111373:206
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Guantanamo1283125:627
2FC Santiago de Cuba1143412:1115
3FC Holguin1234512:1913
4CF Granma112279:228
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)