Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
FC Cienfuegos in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Cienfuegos.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Cienfuegos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- FC Cienfuegos have won more games recently than Matanzas.
- Win probability leans FC Cienfuegos's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
FC Cienfuegos Clean Sheet 20%
Matanzas Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Cienfuegos | Matanzas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 7, 2025 Liga Nacional
Matanzas vs FC Cienfuegos
1:2
May 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs Matanzas
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
Matanzas vs FC Cienfuegos
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs Matanzas
3:2
Feb 10, 2024 Liga Nacional
Matanzas vs FC Cienfuegos
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Cienfuegos 85 / 100
Matanzas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Cienfuegos Matanzas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Cienfuegos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Cienfuegos's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Matanzas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Solid form: FC Cienfuegos remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
FC Cienfuegos VS Matanzas
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Cienfuegos
(Home) 14 Jun
FC Cienfuegos
0 : 1 FC Villa Clara
07 Jun
Matanzas
1 : 2 FC Cienfuegos
24 May
Mayabeque Guines
0 : 3 FC Cienfuegos
17 May
FC Cienfuegos
2 : 2 Mayabeque Guines
10 May
FC Cienfuegos
1 : 0 Matanzas
Page 1 of 7
14 Jun
FC Cienfuegos
0 : 1 FC Villa Clara
17 May
FC Cienfuegos
2 : 2 Mayabeque Guines
10 May
FC Cienfuegos
1 : 0 Matanzas
19 Apr
FC Cienfuegos
0 : 0 FC Villa Clara
22 Mar
FC Cienfuegos
5 : 0 Mayabeque Guines
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Matanzas
(Away) 14 Jun
Mayabeque Guines
3 : 0 Matanzas
07 Jun
Matanzas
1 : 2 FC Cienfuegos
24 May
FC Villa Clara
1 : 0 Matanzas
17 May
Matanzas
1 : 0 FC Villa Clara
10 May
FC Cienfuegos
1 : 0 Matanzas
Page 1 of 6
14 Jun
Mayabeque Guines
3 : 0 Matanzas
24 May
FC Villa Clara
1 : 0 Matanzas
10 May
FC Cienfuegos
1 : 0 Matanzas
19 Apr
Mayabeque Guines
1 : 1 Matanzas
29 Mar
FC Villa Clara
0 : 0 Matanzas
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC La Habana | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 2 | Artemisa | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 16 |
| 3 | Isla de La Juventud | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 4 | Pinar del Rio | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:13 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Cienfuegos | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Villa Clara | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:7 | 22 |
| 3 | Matanzas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 4 | Mayabeque Guines | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:26 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Tunas | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20:13 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Ciego de Avila | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 3 | FC Camaguey | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 4 | FC Sancti Spiritus | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Guantanamo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25:6 | 27 |
| 2 | FC Santiago de Cuba | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 3 | FC Holguin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:19 | 13 |
| 4 | CF Granma | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)
