Sport Picks

Cuba

Liga Nacional

FC Cienfuegos

3 - 2

Matanzas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Cienfuegos in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Cienfuegos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

FC Cienfuegos

Draws

Matanzas

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Cienfuegos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

FC Cienfuegos have won more games recently than Matanzas.
Win probability leans FC Cienfuegos's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%

FC Cienfuegos Clean Sheet 20%

Matanzas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Cienfuegos	Matanzas
Matches Played	33	28
Wins	19	7
Draws	7	6
Losses	7	15
Goals Scored	1.63	1
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 Liga Nacional

Matanzas vs FC Cienfuegos

Possession: 52% - 42% Cards: 0 - 1

1:2

May 10, 2025 Liga Nacional

FC Cienfuegos vs Matanzas

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Apr 12, 2025 Liga Nacional

Matanzas vs FC Cienfuegos

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Mar 15, 2025 Liga Nacional

FC Cienfuegos vs Matanzas

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 2 - 1

3:2

Feb 10, 2024 Liga Nacional

Matanzas vs FC Cienfuegos

Possession: 56% - 59% Cards: 3 - 4

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cienfuegos 85 / 100

Matanzas 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Cienfuegos Matanzas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cienfuegos's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Matanzas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: FC Cienfuegos remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Cienfuegos VS Matanzas

1.63 Goals Scored 1

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88

63% Over 1.5 38%

50% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC La Habana	11	7	3	1	21:12	24
2	Artemisa	12	4	4	4	18:19	16
3	Isla de La Juventud	11	3	2	6	10:16	11
4	Pinar del Rio	10	2	3	5	11:13	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Cienfuegos	12	6	4	2	20:11	22
2	FC Villa Clara	12	6	4	2	16:7	22
3	Matanzas	12	3	3	6	10:13	12
4	Mayabeque Guines	12	2	3	7	11:26	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Las Tunas	12	7	1	4	20:13	22
2	FC Ciego de Avila	12	6	2	4	16:9	20
3	FC Camaguey	11	5	2	4	17:14	17
4	FC Sancti Spiritus	11	1	3	7	3:20	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Guantanamo	12	8	3	1	25:6	27
2	FC Santiago de Cuba	11	4	3	4	12:11	15
3	FC Holguin	12	3	4	5	12:19	13
4	CF Granma	11	2	2	7	9:22	8