Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Cincinnati 2 vs New York Red Bulls II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro NKU Soccer Stadium, Highland Heights, KE
Sun, Jul 5, 2026
3 - 2
10:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Baitinger S.
Assist: Gjengaar D.
28' Event
Gallagher C.
Assist: Rodriguez B.
42'
Gjengaar D.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between FC Cincinnati 2 and New York Red Bulls II finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Cincinnati 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
FC Cincinnati 2
17%
Draws
70%
New York Red Bulls II
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: New York Red Bulls II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New York Red Bulls II come out ahead of FC Cincinnati 2 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans New York Red Bulls II's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Cincinnati 2 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
FC Cincinnati 2 Clean Sheet 10%
New York Red Bulls II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cincinnati 2 New York Red Bulls II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 19
Draws 0 0
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati 2 vs New York Red Bulls II
3:2
Apr 19, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs FC Cincinnati 2
3:1
Oct 1, 2025 MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati 2 vs New York Red Bulls II
2:1
Jun 29, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs FC Cincinnati 2
3:4
Apr 20, 2025 MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati 2 vs New York Red Bulls II
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cincinnati 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

New York Red Bulls II Compare

Top Goalscorer Baitinger S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gallagher C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cincinnati 2 14 / 100
New York Red Bulls II 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cincinnati 2 New York Red Bulls II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NYR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York Red Bulls II has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

FC Cincinnati 2 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

New York Red Bulls II's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Cincinnati 2 VS New York Red Bulls II
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cincinnati 2

(Home)
17 Jul
Toronto FC II
3 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
12 Jul
FC Cincinnati 2
1 : 2
Orlando City B
05 Jul
FC Cincinnati 2
3 : 2
New York Red Bulls II
28 Jun
FC Cincinnati 2
1 : 0
Inter Miami II
18 Jun
CT United FC
4 : 0
FC Cincinnati 2
Page 1 of 6

New York Red Bulls II

(Away)
19 Jul
CT United FC
2 : 1
New York Red Bulls II
12 Jul
Chicago Fire II
3 : 0
New York Red Bulls II
05 Jul
FC Cincinnati 2
3 : 2
New York Red Bulls II
28 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0
Philadelphia Union II
21 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0
Toronto FC II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 219140535:2939
2New York Red Bulls II19100940:2932
3New England Revolution II17110623:2032
4New York City II1690727:2328
5CT United FC18100833:3228
6Philadelphia Union II19901021:2326
7Toronto FC II19801130:3625
8FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy18130544:2737
2Orlando City B19120740:3335
3Chattanooga19120735:3034
4Atlanta United 21890938:2830
5Chicago Fire II1890929:2727
6Huntsville City18801031:3525
7Carolina Core20601426:3221
8Inter Miami II17101614:455
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 219120725:2337
2Ventura County19110834:2732
3Los Angeles FC 21890928:3029
4San Jose Earthquakes II1790837:2028
5Tacoma Defiance19901023:2627
6Real Monarchs19100931:3526
7Vancouver Whitecaps 220601425:4417
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II18140440:1643
2Houston Dynamo 217140339:1540
3Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
4St. Louis City 219100930:3229
5North Texas1780927:2125
6Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
7Colorado Rapids 219301617:3712
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 219140535:2939
2Crown Legacy18130544:2737
3Orlando City B19120740:3335
4Chattanooga19120735:3034
5New York Red Bulls II19100940:2932
6New England Revolution II17110623:2032
7Atlanta United 21890938:2830
8New York City II1690727:2328
9CT United FC18100833:3228
10Chicago Fire II1890929:2727
11Philadelphia Union II19901021:2326
12Toronto FC II19801130:3625
13Huntsville City18801031:3525
14Carolina Core20601426:3221
15FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
16Inter Miami II17101614:455
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II18140440:1643
2Houston Dynamo 217140339:1540
3Portland Timbers 219120725:2337
4Ventura County19110834:2732
5Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
6St. Louis City 219100930:3229
7Los Angeles FC 21890928:3029
8San Jose Earthquakes II1790837:2028
9Tacoma Defiance19901023:2627
10Real Monarchs19100931:3526
11North Texas1780927:2125
12Vancouver Whitecaps 220601425:4417
13Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
14Colorado Rapids 219301617:3712
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)