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FC Cincinnati 2 vs Philadelphia Union II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Next Pro NKU Soccer Stadium, Highland Heights, KE
FC Cincinnati 2 Logo

FC Cincinnati 2

2 - 3
FT
Philadelphia Union II Logo

Philadelphia Union II

Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Lajhar A.
23' Event
Reed T.
36'
Orejarena L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Philadelphia Union II in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Philadelphia Union II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
FC Cincinnati 2
15%
Draws
64%
Philadelphia Union II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philadelphia Union II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Philadelphia Union II have won more games recently than FC Cincinnati 2.
  • Philadelphia Union II are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • History favors Philadelphia Union II here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
FC Cincinnati 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Philadelphia Union II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cincinnati 2 Philadelphia Union II
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 15
Draws 0 1
Losses 23 15
Goals Scored 1.26 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.39 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati 2 vs Philadelphia Union II
2:3
Aug 8, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs FC Cincinnati 2
2:1
Mar 8, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs FC Cincinnati 2
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs FC Cincinnati 2
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati 2 vs Philadelphia Union II
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cincinnati 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fletcher K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chavez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Philadelphia Union II Compare

Top Goalscorer Reed T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ruf J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cincinnati 2 14 / 100
Philadelphia Union II 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cincinnati 2 Philadelphia Union II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Philadelphia Union II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Philadelphia Union II let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

FC Cincinnati 2 found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: FC Cincinnati 2 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Cincinnati 2 VS Philadelphia Union II
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cincinnati 2

(Home)
20 Sept
FC Cincinnati 2
1 : 2
Crown Legacy
13 Sept
New York Red Bulls II
2 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
04 Sept
Toronto FC II
2 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
30 Aug
FC Cincinnati 2
2 : 3
Philadelphia Union II
22 Aug
Carolina Core
1 : 3
FC Cincinnati 2
Page 1 of 7

Philadelphia Union II

(Away)
20 Sept
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 2
New York City II
13 Sept
Chicago Fire II
1 : 2
Philadelphia Union II
04 Sept
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 0
Columbus Crew 2
30 Aug
FC Cincinnati 2
2 : 3
Philadelphia Union II
23 Aug
Philadelphia Union II
2 : 4
CT United FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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