Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal

USA USA

MLS TQL Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Carmona W.
Assist: Owusu P.
40' Event
Echenique E.
Assist: Powell A.
45' Event
Owusu P.
Assist: Jaime I.

AI Match Summary

FC Cincinnati in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Cincinnati.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Cincinnati
33%
Draws
27%
CF Montreal
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FC Cincinnati

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Cincinnati lately — more wins on the board than CF Montreal.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on FC Cincinnati taking it.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FC Cincinnati here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FC Cincinnati Clean Sheet 10%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cincinnati CF Montreal
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal
4:3
Oct 18, 2025 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal
3:0
Jun 25, 2025 MLS
CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati
1:3
Jan 24, 2025 Club Friendly
FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal
1:0
Aug 31, 2024 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cincinnati Compare

Top Goalscorer Echenique E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jabbari A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

CF Montreal Compare

Top Goalscorer Carmona W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Owusu P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cincinnati 38 / 100
CF Montreal 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cincinnati CF Montreal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cincinnati scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: CF Montreal conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

FC Cincinnati has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Cincinnati VS CF Montreal
2.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Los Angeles FC1683527:1727
4Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
5FC Dallas1574430:2225
6Seattle Sounders1473418:1624
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1655622:2520
10St. Louis City1554619:2219
11Portland Timbers1552827:2917
12San Diego FC1545630:2717
13Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City15321016:3911
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC15113132:1136
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1543822:3115
12Toronto FC1536622:2915
13Orlando City1542923:4414
14Atlanta United15321014:2411
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307