Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Cincinnati vs DC United

USA USA

MLS TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Cincinnati host DC United in the MLS. Little to choose between these two on current form. DC United have shipped 1.6 goals a game lately, while FC Cincinnati have conceded 2.14 and scored 2.21. Head-to-head, FC Cincinnati have won 2 to DC United's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.00) point toward FC Cincinnati. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
FC Cincinnati
35%
Draws
24%
DC United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Cincinnati

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Cincinnati come out ahead of DC United on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FC Cincinnati's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
FC Cincinnati Clean Sheet 68%
DC United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cincinnati DC United
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 12 5
Draws 7 12
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.21 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs DC United
0:0
May 31, 2025 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs DC United
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 MLS
DC United vs FC Cincinnati
0:1
Jul 3, 2024 MLS
DC United vs FC Cincinnati
2:3
Mar 10, 2024 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs DC United
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cincinnati 50 / 100
DC United 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cincinnati DC United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Cincinnati Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 9:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Cincinnati scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

DC United let in goals in 72% of their last 25 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

FC Cincinnati went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Cincinnati VS DC United
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cincinnati

(Home)
30 Aug
Nashville SC
4 : 0
FC Cincinnati
22 Aug
FC Cincinnati
1 : 1
Seattle Sounders
19 Aug
FC Cincinnati
2 : 1
New York City
15 Aug
Orlando City
1 : 1
FC Cincinnati
12 Aug
FC Cincinnati
1 : 2
Atlas
Page 1 of 6

DC United

(Away)
29 Aug
DC United
0 : 0
Los Angeles FC
22 Aug
Charlotte FC
3 : 1
DC United
19 Aug
DC United
0 : 3
New England Revolution
15 Aug
CF Montreal
1 : 1
DC United
01 Aug
DC United
2 : 2
Nashville SC
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 23 14 4 5 52:21 46
2 Houston Dynamo 24 13 4 7 32:27 43
3 Los Angeles FC 25 11 7 7 40:24 40
4 FC Dallas 24 11 7 6 47:41 40
5 San Jose Earthquakes 24 11 5 8 43:36 38
6 St. Louis City 24 10 8 6 38:33 38
7 Colorado Rapids 24 10 2 12 32:32 32
8 Portland Timbers 24 9 5 10 46:45 32
9 San Diego FC 24 8 6 10 42:37 30
10 Real Salt Lake 23 8 5 10 37:37 29
11 Minnesota United 24 7 8 9 35:39 29
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 25 7 8 10 30:39 29
13 Seattle Sounders 22 7 6 9 24:29 27
14 Austin FC 24 6 8 10 30:43 26
15 Sporting Kansas City 23 4 3 16 23:58 15
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 24 16 5 3 48:19 53
2 Inter Miami 24 12 8 4 59:44 44
3 New England Revolution 24 12 4 8 39:30 40
4 Chicago Fire 23 11 6 6 44:33 39
5 Charlotte FC 24 11 6 7 42:33 39
6 Orlando City 24 9 4 11 41:56 31
7 FC Cincinnati 23 8 7 8 49:56 31
8 Philadelphia Union 24 8 6 10 41:39 30
9 New York City 24 7 8 9 37:33 29
10 Toronto FC 24 6 11 7 38:43 29
11 DC United 23 6 10 7 30:37 28
12 New York Red Bulls 24 7 6 11 32:48 27
13 Columbus Crew 24 6 5 13 35:41 23
14 Atlanta United 24 6 4 14 29:43 22
15 CF Montreal 24 5 6 13 31:50 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)