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FC Cincinnati vs Detroit City

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Cincinnati play Detroit City in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Cincinnati averaged 2.24 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Detroit City averaged 1.36 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. In past meetings, FC Cincinnati won 2, Detroit City won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 7, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for FC Cincinnati and 1.63 for Detroit City. This points to a FC Cincinnati double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
FC Cincinnati
25%
Draws
33%
Detroit City
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: FC Cincinnati

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Cincinnati picked up more points recently compared to Detroit City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
FC Cincinnati Clean Sheet 14%
Detroit City Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cincinnati Detroit City
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.24 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Cincinnati vs Detroit City
1:0
May 16, 2018 US Open Cup
FC Cincinnati vs Detroit City
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cincinnati 41 / 100
Detroit City 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cincinnati Detroit City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Cincinnati or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Cincinnati attacking → ← attacking Detroit City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cincinnati scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Detroit City let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

FC Cincinnati went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Detroit City lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 43
2.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13