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FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Cincinnati host New England Revolution in the MLS. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: FC Cincinnati at 2.17 goals for, 2.48 against; New England Revolution at 1.75 for, 1.32 against. Head-to-head, FC Cincinnati have won 2 to New England Revolution's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 6:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 2.31) point toward New England Revolution. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
FC Cincinnati
20%
Draws
65%
New England Revolution
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: New England Revolution

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New England Revolution come out ahead of FC Cincinnati on wins alone.
  • New England Revolution are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
FC Cincinnati Clean Sheet 10%
New England Revolution Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cincinnati New England Revolution
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 15
Draws 9 4
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.17 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.48 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 MLS
New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati
6:1
Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati
1:1
Jun 14, 2025 MLS
New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution
1:0
Jun 22, 2024 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cincinnati 14 / 100
New England Revolution 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cincinnati New England Revolution

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New England Revolution Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cincinnati's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

New England Revolution has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

FC Cincinnati went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Cincinnati VS New England Revolution
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cincinnati

(Home)
26 Sept
CF Montreal
3 : 1
FC Cincinnati
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2
FC Cincinnati
12 Sept
FC Cincinnati
3 : 3
Charlotte FC
09 Sept
Philadelphia Union
5 : 0
FC Cincinnati
30 Aug
Nashville SC
4 : 0
FC Cincinnati
Page 1 of 6

New England Revolution

(Away)
27 Sept
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
New England Revolution
19 Sept
New England Revolution
4 : 2
Orlando City
13 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 2
New England Revolution
10 Sept
New York City
1 : 2
New England Revolution
06 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 : 1
New England Revolution
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)