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FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Evander
38'
Sailor R.
59'
Sub
Mboma K. In: Denkey K.
Out: Mboma K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
FC Cincinnati
35%
Draws
55%
Seattle Sounders
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Seattle Sounders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Cincinnati have won more games recently than Seattle Sounders.
  • 55% — that's where the model lands on Seattle Sounders taking it.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41.2%
FC Cincinnati Clean Sheet 11%
Seattle Sounders Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cincinnati Seattle Sounders
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.25 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.54 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders
1:1
Mar 12, 2023 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders
1:0
Sep 28, 2022 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs FC Cincinnati
1:1
Mar 3, 2019 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs FC Cincinnati
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cincinnati Compare

Top Goalscorer Evander
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Seattle Sounders Compare

Top Goalscorer Kossa-Rienzi K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cincinnati 10 / 100
Seattle Sounders 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cincinnati Seattle Sounders

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Seattle Sounders Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cincinnati found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Seattle Sounders has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

FC Cincinnati has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Cincinnati VS Seattle Sounders
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cincinnati

(Home)
26 Sept
CF Montreal
3 : 1
FC Cincinnati
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2
FC Cincinnati
12 Sept
FC Cincinnati
3 : 3
Charlotte FC
09 Sept
Philadelphia Union
5 : 0
FC Cincinnati
30 Aug
Nashville SC
4 : 0
FC Cincinnati
Page 1 of 6

Seattle Sounders

(Away)
02 Oct
Seattle Sounders
2 : 1
Sporting Kansas City
27 Sept
Seattle Sounders
3 : 1
Minnesota United
24 Sept
Seattle Sounders
2 : 0
Real Salt Lake
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids
3 : 3
Seattle Sounders
13 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 1
Seattle Sounders
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)