Sport Picks
FC Cincinnati vs UNAM Pumas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
North & Central America
Leagues Cup TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, OH 
Match Events
8'
8'
Denkey K.
42'
42'
Nwobodo O.
45'
45'
Bucha P.
Assist: Evander
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UNAM Pumas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- FC Cincinnati's 2.25 goals per match outpaces what UNAM Pumas have produced (1.5).
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor FC Cincinnati, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
FC Cincinnati Clean Sheet 13%
UNAM Pumas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Cincinnati | UNAM Pumas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.54 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Leagues Cup
FC Cincinnati vs UNAM Pumas
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Cincinnati Compare
Top Goalscorer Bucha P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mboma K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
UNAM Pumas Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Cincinnati 35 / 100
UNAM Pumas 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Cincinnati UNAM Pumas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UNAM Pumas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Cincinnati scored in 93% of their last 28 games.
UNAM Pumas let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
UNAM Pumas lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Cincinnati VS UNAM Pumas
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Cincinnati
(Home) 26 Sept
CF Montreal
3 : 1 FC Cincinnati
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2 FC Cincinnati
12 Sept
FC Cincinnati
3 : 3 Charlotte FC
09 Sept
Philadelphia Union
5 : 0 FC Cincinnati
30 Aug
Nashville SC
4 : 0 FC Cincinnati
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
FC Cincinnati
3 : 3 Charlotte FC
22 Aug
FC Cincinnati
1 : 1 Seattle Sounders
19 Aug
FC Cincinnati
2 : 1 New York City
12 Aug
FC Cincinnati
1 : 2 Atlas
08 Aug
FC Cincinnati
2 : 0 UNAM Pumas
Page 1 of 3
UNAM Pumas
(Away) 27 Sept
UNAM Pumas
2 : 3 Atletico San Luis
19 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1 UNAM Pumas
14 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
3 : 0 UNAM Pumas
11 Sept
UNAM Pumas
3 : 1 Club Leon
29 Aug
Club Tijuana
2 : 0 UNAM Pumas
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1 UNAM Pumas
14 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
3 : 0 UNAM Pumas
29 Aug
Club Tijuana
2 : 0 UNAM Pumas
11 Aug
Columbus Crew
2 : 1 UNAM Pumas
08 Aug
FC Cincinnati
2 : 0 UNAM Pumas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Leon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Club America | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 6 | Juarez | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 6 |
| 8 | Guadalajara Chivas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 9 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 10 | Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 11 | Atlas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 13 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 1 |
| 15 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 16 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 17 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 18 | Puebla | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Fire | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Austin FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 8 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 10 | San Diego FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Orlando City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 12 | Minnesota United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 13 | Nashville SC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 14 | Inter Miami | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
| 15 | New York City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 16 | Seattle Sounders | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 17 | Philadelphia Union | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)
