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Stadium Background

FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Toyota Stadium, Frisco, TX
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Norris N.
18' Event
Tapia G.
Assist: Zaroury A.
31'
Moore S.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between FC Dallas and Columbus Crew finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Columbus Crew.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
FC Dallas
15%
Draws
40%
Columbus Crew
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Dallas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Columbus Crew come out ahead of FC Dallas on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
FC Dallas Clean Sheet 19%
Columbus Crew Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Dallas Columbus Crew
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 14 15
Draws 7 3
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.71 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2023 MLS
FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew
1:1
Oct 4, 2020 MLS
FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew
2:2
Mar 16, 2019 MLS
Columbus Crew vs FC Dallas
1:0
Sep 16, 2018 MLS
FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew
0:0
Aug 26, 2017 MLS
Columbus Crew vs FC Dallas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Dallas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Columbus Crew Compare

Top Goalscorer Tapia G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Dallas 32 / 100
Columbus Crew 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Dallas Columbus Crew

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Dallas found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Columbus Crew let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

FC Dallas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Dallas VS Columbus Crew
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Dallas

(Home)
25 Oct
FC Dallas
3 : 0
San Jose Earthquakes
18 Oct
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2
FC Dallas
15 Oct
FC Dallas
1 : 0
Seattle Sounders
10 Oct
Charlotte FC
3 : 2
FC Dallas
27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0
Los Angeles FC
Page 1 of 6

Columbus Crew

(Away)
24 Oct
Columbus Crew
4 : 2
Toronto FC
22 Oct
Columbus Crew
0 : 1
St. Louis City
18 Oct
FC Cincinnati
0 : 2
Columbus Crew
14 Oct
Columbus Crew
3 : 1
Charlotte FC
10 Oct
Orlando City
3 : 2
Columbus Crew
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 31 16 7 8 63:32 55
2 FC Dallas 31 15 9 7 58:47 54
3 St. Louis City 31 14 9 8 56:44 51
4 San Jose Earthquakes 31 13 9 9 52:45 48
5 Houston Dynamo 31 13 9 9 41:39 48
6 Los Angeles FC 32 12 11 9 50:35 47
7 Seattle Sounders 31 11 10 10 41:39 43
8 Colorado Rapids 31 12 6 13 42:41 42
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 32 10 11 11 45:54 41
10 Real Salt Lake 31 11 6 14 48:48 39
11 Portland Timbers 31 10 7 14 54:58 37
12 San Diego FC 31 8 11 12 55:58 35
13 Minnesota United 31 8 11 12 47:55 35
14 Austin FC 31 8 10 13 40:57 34
15 Sporting Kansas City 31 6 4 21 37:77 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 31 21 7 3 66:23 70
2 New England Revolution 31 17 4 10 51:42 55
3 Inter Miami 31 15 10 6 73:53 55
4 Chicago Fire 31 15 6 10 55:46 51
5 Charlotte FC 31 13 8 10 55:48 47
6 Philadelphia Union 31 13 7 11 62:50 46
7 Orlando City 31 12 6 13 60:72 42
8 FC Cincinnati 31 11 9 11 64:71 42
9 New York Red Bulls 31 11 6 14 41:56 39
10 Columbus Crew 31 11 5 15 50:49 38
11 Toronto FC 31 8 12 11 48:59 36
12 New York City 31 8 11 12 45:43 35
13 DC United 31 7 12 12 38:55 33
14 Atlanta United 31 8 6 17 39:54 30
15 CF Montreal 31 6 7 18 36:62 25
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)