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FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Toyota Stadium, Frisco, TX
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Match Events

23'
Sieb A.
34' Event
Urhoghide O.
Assist: Valiente J.
44'
Porteous R.

AI Match Summary

FC Dallas in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Dallas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FC Dallas
30%
Draws
19%
Los Angeles FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Dallas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Dallas have won more games recently than Los Angeles FC.
  • Win probability leans FC Dallas's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
FC Dallas Clean Sheet 18%
Los Angeles FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Dallas Los Angeles FC
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 14 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.89 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 MLS
FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC
1:0
Mar 8, 2026 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs FC Dallas
1:0
Aug 24, 2025 MLS
FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC
1:1
Jul 13, 2025 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs FC Dallas
2:0
Sep 22, 2024 MLS
FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Dallas Compare

Top Goalscorer Urhoghide O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Los Angeles FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Dallas 67 / 100
Los Angeles FC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Dallas Los Angeles FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Dallas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Dallas scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

FC Dallas has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Los Angeles FC let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

FC Dallas VS Los Angeles FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Dallas

(Home)
27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0
Los Angeles FC
20 Sept
FC Dallas
0 : 0
Austin FC
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1
Portland Timbers
10 Sept
Minnesota United
1 : 2
FC Dallas
06 Sept
FC Dallas
4 : 3
Sporting Kansas City
Page 1 of 6

Los Angeles FC

(Away)
27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0
Los Angeles FC
19 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
13 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1
Los Angeles FC
10 Sept
Los Angeles FC
2 : 0
New York Red Bulls
06 Sept
Real Salt Lake
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
3 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
4 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
13 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)