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FC Daugava Daugavpils vs Skonto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Virslīga 2014 Daugavas stadions, Daugavpils
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Match Events

18' Event
Morozs V.

AI Match Summary

The Virslīga 2014 game between FC Daugava Daugavpils and Skonto finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skonto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
FC Daugava Daugavpils
15%
Draws
42%
Skonto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Daugava Daugavpils

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • FC Daugava Daugavpils haven't matched Skonto's recent run of results.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on FC Daugava Daugavpils taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Skonto have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
FC Daugava Daugavpils Clean Sheet 68%
Skonto Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Daugava Daugavpils Skonto
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 14 23
Draws 8 2
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.4 3
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2014 Virsliga
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs Skonto
0:1
Aug 1, 2014 Virsliga
Skonto vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
1:0
Jun 10, 2014 Virsliga
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs Skonto
0:4
May 10, 2014 Virsliga
Skonto vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
2:1
Apr 23, 2014 Latvian Cup
Skonto vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Daugava Daugavpils Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Skonto Compare

Top Goalscorer Morozs V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.49
Avg xA / game 1.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Daugava Daugavpils 77 / 100
Skonto 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Daugava Daugavpils Skonto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Daugava Daugavpils Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Daugava Daugavpils scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Skonto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 36 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Skonto registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Skonto
0 Goals Scored 4.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Daugava Daugavpils

(Home)
08 Nov
Ventspils
4 : 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils
01 Nov
FK Liepaja
3 : 2
FC Daugava Daugavpils
26 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
5 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
17 Oct
FK Metta
0 : 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils
04 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
0 : 1
Skonto
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Skonto

(Away)
05 Nov
Skonto
0 : 3
AFA Olaine
29 Oct
Skonto
5 : 1
Preilu BJSS
22 Oct
FK Auda Riga
3 : 2
Skonto
16 Oct
SK Babite
4 : 3
Skonto
28 Sept
Skonto
3 : 2
RTU
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ventspils 36 26 5 5 75:20 83
2 Skonto 36 25 1 10 77:34 71
3 Jelgava 36 20 10 6 57:27 70
4 FK Liepaja 36 21 3 12 72:45 66
5 FC Daugava Daugavpils 36 19 8 9 53:39 65
6 Spartaks Jurmala 36 14 9 13 38:32 51
7 FK Daugava Riga 36 13 4 19 48:64 43
8 BFC Daugavpils 36 8 5 23 30:65 29
9 FK Metta 36 3 7 26 26:69 16
10 FC Jurmala 36 2 6 28 29:110 7
Relegation - Virslīga 2014 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)