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FC Derby vs Academico do Sal

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Toy
40' Event
Toy
40' Event
Toy

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with FC Derby advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FC Derby
20%
Draws
29%
Academico do Sal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Derby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Derby carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Derby a 51% chance of winning this.
  • FC Derby have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Derby, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
FC Derby Clean Sheet 20%
Academico do Sal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Derby Academico do Sal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
FC Derby vs Academico do Sal
4:1
Jun 22, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Academico do Sal vs FC Derby
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Derby Compare

Top Goalscorer Toy
3 Goals
Assists Leader Delgado R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Academico do Sal Compare

Top Goalscorer Dos Santos I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Derby 49 / 100
Academico do Sal 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Derby Academico do Sal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Derby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Derby's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Academico do Sal conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: FC Derby remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Derby VS Academico do Sal
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Derby

(Home)
13 Jul
Boavista da Praia
2 : 1
FC Derby
29 Jun
FC Derby
4 : 1
Academico do Sal
22 Jun
Academico do Sal
1 : 0
FC Derby
15 Jun
FC Derby
0 : 0
Boavista da Praia
09 Jun
Ultramarina
1 : 2
FC Derby
Page 1 of 6

Academico do Sal

(Away)
13 Jun
Cutelinho
1 : 1
Academico do Sal
06 Jun
Academico do Sal
1 : 2
Academica Porto Novo
30 May
Mindelense
3 : 0
Academico do Sal
23 May
Academico do Sal
1 : 0
Scorpion Vermelho
09 May
Boavista da Praia
1 : 0
Academico do Sal
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Palmeira 1
Boavista da Praia 1
Academico do Sal 2
FC Derby 4
Final
Boavista da Praia 2
FC Derby 1