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FC Derby vs Desportivo Praia Prediction & H2H Stats

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Campeonato Nacional 2016
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2016 game between FC Derby and Desportivo Praia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Derby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Derby
20%
Draws
40%
Desportivo Praia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Desportivo Praia haven't matched FC Derby's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on FC Derby taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
FC Derby Clean Sheet 20%
Desportivo Praia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Derby Desportivo Praia
Matches Played 30 12
Wins 15 7
Draws 7 2
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.47 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.07
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2016 Campeonato Nacional
FC Derby vs Desportivo Praia
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Derby 42 / 100
Desportivo Praia 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Derby Desportivo Praia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Derby's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: FC Derby stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Desportivo Praia conceded in 50% of 12 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FC Derby VS Desportivo Praia
1.25 Goals Scored 1.4
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.2
63% Over 1.5 80%
38% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Derby

(Home)
13 Jul
Boavista da Praia
2 : 1
FC Derby
29 Jun
FC Derby
4 : 1
Academico do Sal
22 Jun
Academico do Sal
1 : 0
FC Derby
15 Jun
FC Derby
0 : 0
Boavista da Praia
09 Jun
Ultramarina
1 : 2
FC Derby
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Desportivo Praia

(Away)
11 Jun
Desportivo Praia
2 : 1
Sporting da Brava
04 Jun
FC Derby
2 : 1
Desportivo Praia
01 Jun
Desportivo Praia
1 : 3
GD Varandinha
28 May
Desportivo Praia
3 : 0
SC Atletico
21 May
Sinagoga
0 : 0
Desportivo Praia
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Derby 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
2 GD Varandinha 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
3 Desportivo Praia 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
4 Sporting da Brava 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
5 SC Atletico 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
6 Sinagoga 5 0 2 3 4:10 2
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2016 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mindelense 5 3 2 0 11:3 11
2 Academica Porto Novo 5 3 2 0 6:1 11
3 Academico do Sal 5 2 1 2 4:4 7
4 Academico 83 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
5 Sport Sal-Rei 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
6 Vulcanico 5 1 0 4 2:9 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2016 (Play Offs)