Sport Picks

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FC Dnipro 75 vs FC Mariupol II

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2009/2010
Sun, Apr 18, 2010
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Dnipro 75 host FC Mariupol II in the Druha Liga 2009/2010. Little to choose between these two on current form. FC Dnipro 75 have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against FC Mariupol II's 1.25 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor FC Dnipro 75 slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2010, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.35 vs 1.18, favoring FC Dnipro 75. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FC Dnipro 75
6%
Draws
4%
FC Mariupol II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Dnipro 75

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Dnipro 75 haven't matched FC Mariupol II's recent run of results.
  • Model gives FC Dnipro 75 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FC Dnipro 75 Clean Sheet 20%
FC Mariupol II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Dnipro 75 FC Mariupol II
Matches Played 26 32
Wins 4 12
Draws 5 2
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2010 Druha Liga
FC Dnipro 75 vs FC Mariupol II
0:0
Sep 5, 2009 Druha Liga
FC Mariupol II vs FC Dnipro 75
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Dnipro 75 85 / 100
FC Mariupol II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Dnipro 75 FC Mariupol II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Mariupol II let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

FC Dnipro 75 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (15 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

FC Mariupol II lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Mariupol II
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Dnipro 75

(Home)
29 May
Sumy
:
FC Dnipro 75
23 May
FC Dnipro 75
:
Kremin
15 May
FC Dnipro 75
:
Shakhtar 3
09 May
Shakhter Sverdlovsk
:
FC Dnipro 75
01 May
FC Dnipro 75
:
Kryvbas Krivoy Rog
Page 1 of 6

FC Mariupol II

(Away)
02 Jun
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 0
FC Mariupol II
27 May
FC Mariupol II
1 : 3
Myr Hornostajivka
21 May
Krystal
:
FC Mariupol II
18 May
FC Mariupol II
0 : 2
Zhemchuzhyna Odesa
13 May
Kremin
2 : 0
FC Mariupol II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bukovyna20153235:1248
2Nyva Vinnytsya20124443:1640
3Bastion Illichivsk20117244:2040
4MFK Mykolaiv20116330:1339
5FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi20103728:1633
6Yednist2085722:2129
7FC Ros Bila Tserkva20631118:3021
8Lviv 22047913:2519
9Veres Rivne20441216:4116
10Karpaty Lviv 220511417:4316
11Skala Stryj20131611:406
Promotion - Persha Liga 2010/2011 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Titan A.26213250:2066
2Kremin26159241:2154
3SC Poltava26166434:1654
4Stal Kamianske26156538:2351
5Olimpik Donetsk26154745:2849
6Shakhter Sverdlovsk26137626:1546
7Shakhtar 3261061033:2936
8Sumy261061032:3436
9Kryvbas Krivoy Rog26841429:4328
10Olkom Melitopol26751431:4226
11Hirnyk-Sport26571421:3522
12FC Mariupol II26431916:4015
13FC Dnipro 7526451719:2114
14SK Metalurh Zaporizhya 226312218:6610
Promotion - Persha Liga 2010/2011 (Main)