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FC Ehlerange vs Berdenia Berbourg

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Ehlerange in this Luxembourg Cup 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Ehlerange.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
FC Ehlerange
44%
Draws
20%
Berdenia Berbourg
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Berdenia Berbourg lately — more wins on the board than FC Ehlerange.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Cup games in Luxembourg Cup 2020/2021 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FC Ehlerange Clean Sheet 10%
Berdenia Berbourg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ehlerange Berdenia Berbourg
Matches Played 6 18
Wins 2 5
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.2 1.63
Goals Conceded 3.4 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.40 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2020 Luxembourg Cup
FC Ehlerange vs Berdenia Berbourg
4:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ehlerange 34 / 100
Berdenia Berbourg 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ehlerange Berdenia Berbourg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ehlerange scored in 83% of their last 6 games.

Defensive concern: Berdenia Berbourg conceded in 83% of 18 recent games.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Berdenia Berbourg's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Ehlerange VS Berdenia Berbourg
1.2 Goals Scored 1.63
3.4 Goals Conceded 2
80% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 75%
60% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Jeunesse Schieren1
Union Titus Petange2
Jeunesse Gilsdorf1
Ettelbruck2
Racing Troisvierges0
Racing Luxembourg11
FC Schengen1
Differdange5
FC Ehlerange4
Berdenia Berbourg3
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette0
Jeunesse Canach4
Syra Mensdorf1
FC Mamer0
FF Norden1
Luxembourg City2
Avenir Beggen3
Mondercange2
Pratzerthal/Redange0
Fola4
Echternach1
Mertert/Wasserbillig3
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz0
Rumelange10
FC Munsbach2
Alisontia Steinsel4
Mertzig0
Dudelange5
Oberkorn2
Esch1
US Feulen0
Hostert1
Grevenmacher2
Kaerjeng3
Blo Weiss Itzig0
Hesperange4
Erpeldange1
Schifflange3
Harlange/Tarchamps0
Wiltz8
CS Sanem2
Bettembourg0
AS Wincrange0
FC Rodange 912
Lorentzweiler2
FC Marisca Mersch0
Diekirch0
Mondorf6
FC Koerich/Simmern2
Bissen4
FC Noertzange HF0
Jeunesse Esch6
Steinfort1
Jeunesse Junglinster3
Union Tetange3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler4
FC Red Black/Egalite 07-
Blo Weiss Medernach-
Kehlen0
Progres Niedercorn2
AS Luxembourg/Porto2
Victoria Rosport5
Cebra2
UNA Strassen3
1/16-finals
Union Titus Petange-
Ettelbruck-
Racing Luxembourg-
Differdange-
FC Ehlerange-
Jeunesse Canach-
Syra Mensdorf-
Luxembourg City-
Avenir Beggen-
Fola-
Mertert/Wasserbillig-
Rumelange-
Alisontia Steinsel-
Dudelange-
Oberkorn-
Hostert-
Kaerjeng-
Hesperange-
Schifflange-
Wiltz-
CS Sanem-
FC Rodange 91-
Lorentzweiler-
Mondorf-
Bissen-
Jeunesse Esch-
Jeunesse Junglinster-
FC Yellow Boys Weiler-
TBD-
Progres Niedercorn-
Victoria Rosport-
UNA Strassen-
1/8-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-