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FC Ehlerange vs Fola Prediction & H2H Stats

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fola in this Luxembourg Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
FC Ehlerange
15%
Draws
64%
Fola
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Fola have won more games recently than FC Ehlerange.
  • Win probability leans Fola's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Fola arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fola, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FC Ehlerange Clean Sheet 10%
Fola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ehlerange Fola
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 2 8
Draws 0 1
Losses 4 21
Goals Scored 1.83 1.1
Goals Conceded 3.33 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2024 Luxembourg Cup
FC Ehlerange vs Fola
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ehlerange 10 / 100
Fola 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ehlerange Fola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ehlerange's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Defensive concern: Fola conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: FC Ehlerange stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Ehlerange VS Fola
0 Goals Scored 0.63
9 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ehlerange

(Home)
19 Sept
Differdange
9 : 0
FC Ehlerange
05 Oct
FC Ehlerange
1 : 3
Fola
17 Oct
FC Ehlerange
4 : 3
Berdenia Berbourg
24 Sept
FC Ehlerange
1 : 2
Koeppchen
16 Sept
FC Ehlerange
1 : 2
Bettembourg
Page 1 of 2

Fola

(Away)
20 Sept
Lintgen
3 : 0
Fola
22 Apr
Fola
0 : 1
FC Rodange 91
04 Mar
Fola
3 : 1
Hostert
09 Nov
Rumelange
2 : 4
Fola
21 Sept
Jeunesse Biwer
1 : 4
Fola
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Lintgen 1
Bissen 0
Echternach 3
Ettelbruck 2
The Belval Belvaux 5
US Sandweiler 0
Clemency 0
Mondorf 4
Oberkorn 0
Racing Luxembourg 1
Steinfort 0
Hesperange 3
Lorentzweiler 0
Victoria Rosport 2
US Moutfort/Medingen 1
Bettembourg 4
FC 47 Bastendorf 3
Luxembourg City 2
FC Orania Vianden 4
Berdenia Berbourg 3
Union Remich/Bous 3
Koeppchen 2
Syra Mensdorf 2
Dudelange 5
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
US Feulen 1
FC Schengen 1
Hostert 5
Union Tetange 2
Avenir Beggen 0
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
UNA Strassen 4
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
FC Mamer 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
Schifflange 3
FC Ehlerange 1
Fola 3
Mertzig 2
Union Titus Petange 4
Pfaffenthal 1
Kaerjeng 2
Jeunesse Useldange 1
FC Marisca Mersch 3
Alliance Aischdall 2
Alisontia Steinsel 3
AS Colmar-Berg 0
Differdange 14
AS Luxembourg/Porto 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
Jeunesse Schieren 1
FC Rodange 91 3
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 1
Mondercange 6
Izeg 0
Wiltz 4
Diekirch 1
FC Residence Walferdange 2
Sporting Bertrange 1
Jeunesse Esch 7
US Folschette 0
Rumelange 6
Red Boys Aspelt 0
Progres Niedercorn 8
1/16-finals
Lintgen 2
Echternach 1
The Belval Belvaux 1
Mondorf 0
Racing Luxembourg 2
Hesperange 0
Victoria Rosport 2
Bettembourg 0
FC 47 Bastendorf 3
FC Orania Vianden 1
Union Remich/Bous 2
Dudelange 3
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
Hostert 4
Union Tetange 0
UNA Strassen 8
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Schifflange 0
Fola 1
Union Titus Petange 3
Kaerjeng 2
FC Marisca Mersch 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
Differdange 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
FC Rodange 91 0
Mondercange 1
Wiltz 6
FC Residence Walferdange 0
Jeunesse Esch 1
Rumelange 1
Progres Niedercorn 3
1/8-finals
Lintgen 2
The Belval Belvaux 1
Racing Luxembourg 3
Victoria Rosport 1
FC 47 Bastendorf 1
Dudelange 4
Hostert 1
UNA Strassen 2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 2
Union Titus Petange 7
Kaerjeng 0
Differdange 4
Jeunesse Canach 1
Wiltz 2
Jeunesse Esch 0
Progres Niedercorn 3
Quarter-finals
Lintgen 0
Racing Luxembourg 4
Dudelange 4
UNA Strassen 2
Union Titus Petange 0
Differdange 2
Wiltz 3
Progres Niedercorn 2
Semi-finals
Racing Luxembourg 2
Dudelange 3
Differdange 3
Wiltz 0
Final
Dudelange 2
Differdange 3