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FC Ehlerange vs Koeppchen

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Koeppchen advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
FC Ehlerange
15%
Draws
42%
Koeppchen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Ehlerange

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Koeppchen come out ahead of FC Ehlerange on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Koeppchen taking it.
  • Koeppchen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Koeppchen, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
FC Ehlerange Clean Sheet 10%
Koeppchen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ehlerange Koeppchen
Matches Played 6 14
Wins 2 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.83 1.43
Goals Conceded 3.33 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.96 2.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2017 Luxembourg Cup
FC Ehlerange vs Koeppchen
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ehlerange 18 / 100
Koeppchen 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ehlerange Koeppchen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Koeppchen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ehlerange's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Koeppchen has conceded goals in 100% of their last 14 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Koeppchen registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Ehlerange VS Koeppchen
1.17 Goals Scored 1.5
3.17 Goals Conceded 2.75
83% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ehlerange

(Home)
19 Sept
Differdange
9 : 0
FC Ehlerange
05 Oct
FC Ehlerange
1 : 3
Fola
17 Oct
FC Ehlerange
4 : 3
Berdenia Berbourg
24 Sept
FC Ehlerange
1 : 2
Koeppchen
16 Sept
FC Ehlerange
1 : 2
Bettembourg
Page 1 of 2

Koeppchen

(Away)
22 Jul
Jeunesse Esch
1 : 0
Koeppchen
21 Sept
FC Koerich/Simmern
2 : 0
Koeppchen
06 Oct
Union Remich/Bous
3 : 2
Koeppchen
29 Oct
Koeppchen
2 : 5
Mondercange
01 Oct
FC Koerich/Simmern
1 : 3
Koeppchen
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Wiltz 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
US Moutfort/Medingen 0
Ettelbruck 10
Victoria Rosport 1
AS Luxembourg/Porto 0
US Reisdorf 0
Rumelange 8
Kaerjeng 4
Echternach 1
Lorentzweiler 0
US Sandweiler 4
FC Mamer 2
Blo Weiss Itzig 1
Blo Weiss Medernach 1
FC Rodange 91 3
Esch 4
Cebra 0
US Berdorf Consdorf 0
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Jeunesse Canach 5
FC Kopstal 33 0
The Belval Belvaux 0
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 2
Luxembourg City 2
Steinfort 0
FC Ehlerange 1
Koeppchen 2
Jeunesse Useldange 5
Pratzerthal/Redange 3
Mertzig 0
Hostert 5
Racing Luxembourg 8
CS Sanem 0
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 3
UNA Strassen 6
Oberkorn 1
Racing Troisvierges 1
Jeunesse Esch 16
Progres Niedercorn 3
FC Marisca Mersch 1
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz 0
Dudelange 13
Fola 5
AS Wincrange 1
Vinesca Ehnen 0
Union Titus Petange 7
Grevenmacher 4
Bettembourg 2
Alliance Aischdall 0
Jeunesse Junglinster 5
Hesperange 6
Diekirch 1
Union Remich/Bous 1
Mondorf 2
Erpeldange 5
US Feulen 1
FC Orania Vianden 2
Union Tetange 4
FF Norden 2
AS Colmar-Berg 1
Lintgen 0
Differdange 3
1/16-finals
Wiltz 3
Ettelbruck 1
Victoria Rosport 0
Rumelange 3
Kaerjeng 1
US Sandweiler 0
FC Mamer 1
FC Rodange 91 2
Esch 2
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 3
Luxembourg City 2
Koeppchen 0
Jeunesse Useldange 0
Hostert 2
Racing Luxembourg 4
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
UNA Strassen 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
Progres Niedercorn 4
Dudelange 3
Fola 2
Union Titus Petange 3
Grevenmacher 2
Jeunesse Junglinster 1
Hesperange 0
Mondorf 1
Erpeldange 2
Union Tetange 1
FF Norden 0
Differdange 9
1/8-finals
Wiltz 2
Rumelange 0
Kaerjeng 1
FC Rodange 91 5
Esch 1
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
Luxembourg City 0
Hostert 5
Racing Luxembourg 3
Jeunesse Esch 1
Progres Niedercorn 0
Union Titus Petange 1
Grevenmacher 1
Mondorf 0
Erpeldange 0
Differdange 2
Quarter-finals
Wiltz 3
FC Rodange 91 2
Esch 1
Hostert 2
Racing Luxembourg 2
Union Titus Petange 1
Grevenmacher 0
Differdange 1
Semi-finals
Wiltz 1
Hostert 2
Racing Luxembourg 1
Differdange 0
Final
Hostert 0
Racing Luxembourg 1