Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Ertis Pavlodar in this First League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ertis Pavlodar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ertis Pavlodar have won more games recently than FC Ekibastuz.
- FC Ekibastuz are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular First League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Ertis Pavlodar here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Ekibastuz | Ertis Pavlodar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Ekibastuz Compare
Ertis Pavlodar Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ertis Pavlodar let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
FC Ekibastuz scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
FC Ekibastuz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaspij Aktau | 26 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 74:27 | 68 |
| 2 | Ertis Pavlodar | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 71:20 | 61 |
| 3 | Altai | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:23 | 55 |
| 4 | Shakhter Karagandy | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 61:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Zhetisay | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 44:35 | 42 |
| 6 | Kairat Almaty 2 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 58:42 | 40 |
| 7 | Akademiya Ontustik | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 44:44 | 39 |
| 8 | Taraz | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 43:38 | 35 |
| 9 | AKAS | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 42:39 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Ekibastuz | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 36:60 | 28 |
| 11 | SD Family | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 33:75 | 23 |
| 12 | Khan Tengri | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Aktobe 2 | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 34:65 | 16 |
| 14 | Turkistan | 26 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 16:80 | 9 |