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FC Ekibastuz vs Khan Tengri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Mukhit A.
Assist: Baurzhan M.
21' Event
Medelkhan D.
Assist: Emirov R.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between FC Ekibastuz and Khan Tengri finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Ekibastuz
15%
Draws
85%
Khan Tengri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Khan Tengri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Khan Tengri have managed 1.28 goals a game lately — FC Ekibastuz are scoring more at 1.32.
  • Khan Tengri are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 10%
Khan Tengri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ekibastuz Khan Tengri
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.32 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.36 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Khan Tengri
1:1
Jul 2, 2026 First League
Khan Tengri vs FC Ekibastuz
1:3
Oct 16, 2025 First League
Khan Tengri vs FC Ekibastuz
4:0
Jul 10, 2025 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Khan Tengri
2:0
Mar 22, 2025 Kazakhstan Cup
Khan Tengri vs FC Ekibastuz
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Ekibastuz Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukhit A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Khan Tengri Compare

Top Goalscorer Medelkhan D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ekibastuz 10 / 100
Khan Tengri 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ekibastuz Khan Tengri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khan Tengri Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ekibastuz's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Khan Tengri has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Khan Tengri lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Ekibastuz VS Khan Tengri
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ekibastuz

(Home)
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
11 Sept
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 5
Tobol 2
03 Sept
Arys
3 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
20 Aug
Akademiya Ontustik
3 : 2
FC Ekibastuz
Page 1 of 6

Khan Tengri

(Away)
18 Sept
Khan Tengri
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty 2
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
Khan Tengri
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
20 Aug
Tobol 2
3 : 4
Khan Tengri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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