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FC Ekibastuz vs Taraz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Ekibastuz host Taraz in the First League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: FC Ekibastuz at 1.31 goals for, 2.38 against; Taraz at 1.47 for, 1.33 against. Head-to-head, FC Ekibastuz have won 1 to Taraz's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.88) point toward Taraz. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Ekibastuz
30%
Draws
70%
Taraz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Taraz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Taraz come out ahead of FC Ekibastuz on wins alone.
  • Taraz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 10%
Taraz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ekibastuz Taraz
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.31 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 First League
Taraz vs FC Ekibastuz
3:0
Sep 12, 2025 First League
Taraz vs FC Ekibastuz
1:0
Jun 12, 2025 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Taraz
4:1
Sep 20, 2024 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Taraz
1:1
May 22, 2024 First League
Taraz vs FC Ekibastuz
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ekibastuz 10 / 100
Taraz 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ekibastuz Taraz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taraz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Ekibastuz scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Taraz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Taraz lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Ekibastuz VS Taraz
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ekibastuz

(Home)
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
11 Sept
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 5
Tobol 2
03 Sept
Arys
3 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
20 Aug
Akademiya Ontustik
3 : 2
FC Ekibastuz
Page 1 of 6

Taraz

(Away)
17 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
0 : 0
Taraz
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
FC Astana 2
4 : 0
Taraz
28 Aug
Taraz
3 : 1
Tobol 2
20 Aug
Arys
1 : 1
Taraz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
11 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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