Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Ekibastuz vs Turan

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Duysenbekuly K.
61' Event
Mukhit A.
Assist: Kalymbetov A.
68' Event
Oralbay E.
Assist: Saidov E.

AI Match Summary

Turan in this First League matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Turan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
FC Ekibastuz
15%
Draws
65%
Turan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Turan lately — more wins on the board than FC Ekibastuz.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on FC Ekibastuz taking it.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 10%
Turan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ekibastuz Turan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.28 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Turan
2:4
May 27, 2026 First League
Turan vs FC Ekibastuz
4:0
Aug 17, 2023 First League
Turan vs FC Ekibastuz
6:1
May 10, 2023 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Turan
1:1
Oct 22, 2020 First League
Turan vs FC Ekibastuz
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Ekibastuz Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukhit A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Khadzh N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Oralbay E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Duysenbekuly K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ekibastuz 34 / 100
Turan 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ekibastuz Turan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

FC Ekibastuz found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Turan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Solid form: FC Ekibastuz remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Ekibastuz VS Turan
1.5 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ekibastuz

(Home)
11 Sept
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 5
Tobol 2
03 Sept
Arys
3 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
20 Aug
Akademiya Ontustik
3 : 2
FC Ekibastuz
14 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
3 : 1
Jaiyq
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Turan

(Away)
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
04 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
0 : 3
Turan
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
21 Aug
Turan
0 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
14 Aug
Taraz
0 : 0
Turan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 22 15 2 5 47:20 47
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 22 7 4 11 29:38 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 22 3 4 15 37:57 13
14 Yelimay Semey 2 22 3 3 16 16:43 12
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