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FC Emmen vs De Graafschap

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen
FC Emmen Logo

FC Emmen

1 - 0
FT
De Graafschap Logo

De Graafschap

Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Beukers D.
37'
Sunder C.
42'
Nunumete D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Emmen in this Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Emmen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
FC Emmen
15%
Draws
42%
De Graafschap
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Emmen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • De Graafschap have won more games recently than FC Emmen.
  • Model gives FC Emmen a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
FC Emmen Clean Sheet 15%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Emmen De Graafschap
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.86
Goals Conceded 2 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs De Graafschap
1:2
Apr 24, 2026 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs De Graafschap
1:0
Sep 5, 2025 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs FC Emmen
2:3
Jan 24, 2025 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs FC Emmen
4:0
Nov 25, 2024 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs De Graafschap
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Emmen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kongolo R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

De Graafschap Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Emmen 48 / 100
De Graafschap 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Emmen De Graafschap

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EMMF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: De Graafschap conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: FC Emmen scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

De Graafschap's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Emmen VS De Graafschap
2.63 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Emmen

(Home)
26 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 0
TOP Oss
18 Sept
Eindhoven FC
3 : 1
FC Emmen
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2
De Graafschap
04 Sept
FC Emmen
5 : 3
FC Volendam
30 Aug
Venlo
4 : 0
FC Emmen
Page 1 of 6

De Graafschap

(Away)
27 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 0
Den Bosch
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2
NAC Breda
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2
De Graafschap
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0
De Graafschap
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4
Almere City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Den Haag 38 29 2 7 90:37 89
2 Cambuur 38 23 9 6 75:48 78
3 Willem II 38 20 8 10 59:42 68
4 De Graafschap 38 18 9 11 74:58 63
5 Almere City 38 18 4 16 78:63 58
6 Waalwijk 38 16 10 12 71:59 58
7 Jong PSV 38 17 5 16 66:64 56
8 Roda 38 14 13 11 59:54 55
9 Den Bosch 38 14 9 15 65:69 51
10 Dordrecht 38 12 11 15 48:56 47
11 Eindhoven FC 38 14 5 19 51:69 47
12 Jong Utrecht 38 12 10 16 58:62 46
13 Venlo 38 13 6 19 50:58 45
14 FC Emmen 38 12 9 17 58:72 45
15 Vitesse 38 15 11 12 64:55 44
16 TOP Oss 38 11 11 16 54:64 44
17 Jong AZ Alkmaar 38 12 4 22 61:76 40
18 Helmond Sport 38 10 9 19 42:62 39
19 Maastricht 38 9 11 18 41:73 38
20 Jong Ajax 38 9 8 21 50:73 35
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)