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FC Felgueiras vs Sousense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2017/2018
FC Felgueiras Logo

FC Felgueiras

1 - 1
FT
Sousense Logo

Sousense

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2017/2018 game between FC Felgueiras and Sousense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
FC Felgueiras
30%
Draws
35%
Sousense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • FC Felgueiras carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on FC Felgueiras taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
FC Felgueiras Clean Sheet 68%
Sousense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Felgueiras Sousense
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 14 3
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.03 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
FC Felgueiras vs Sousense
1:1
Oct 8, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Sousense vs FC Felgueiras
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Felgueiras 59 / 100
Sousense 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Felgueiras Sousense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Felgueiras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sousense conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

FC Felgueiras's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: FC Felgueiras remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Felgueiras VS Sousense
1.5 Goals Scored 0.6
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.2
75% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Felgueiras

(Home)
30 Aug
FC Felgueiras
2 : 1
Chaves
24 Aug
SC Farense
1 : 1
FC Felgueiras
17 Aug
FC Felgueiras
1 : 1
AFS
09 Aug
Feirense
0 : 0
FC Felgueiras
01 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0
FC Felgueiras
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Sousense

(Away)
30 Aug
SC Salgueiros
2 : 1
Sousense
22 Aug
Sousense
0 : 1
Castro Daire
16 Aug
Cinfaes
2 : 0
Sousense
25 Jul
Sousense
2 : 1
Uniao Lamas
22 Apr
Sousense
2 : 1
Gondomar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Felgueiras 30 16 8 6 53:28 56
2 SC Espinho 30 15 9 6 50:30 54
3 Gondomar 30 13 10 7 43:29 49
4 FC Cesarense 30 11 15 4 44:26 48
5 Cinfaes 30 13 6 11 39:40 45
6 Amarante FC 30 12 9 9 42:33 45
7 Sanjoanense 30 10 12 8 35:30 42
8 Pedras Rubras 30 11 9 10 36:32 42
9 Trofense 30 12 6 12 34:35 42
10 Coimbroes 30 11 8 11 40:46 41
11 Canelas 2010 30 11 8 11 45:44 41
12 SC Salgueiros 30 7 14 9 30:34 35
13 Camacha 30 10 4 16 33:47 34
14 Alianca de Gandra 30 8 5 17 24:47 29
15 Freamunde 30 6 10 14 26:31 28
16 Sousense 30 6 3 21 19:61 21
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)