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FC Gandzasar vs Shirak Gyumri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

Premier League Stadion Gandzasar, Kapan
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Sargsyan V.
40'
Sub
Reis L. In: Lizalda E.
Out: Reis L.
46'
Sub
Rocha T. In: Joao A.
Out: Rocha T.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between FC Gandzasar and Shirak Gyumri finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shirak Gyumri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Gandzasar
15%
Draws
85%
Shirak Gyumri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shirak Gyumri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shirak Gyumri come out ahead of FC Gandzasar on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Shirak Gyumri taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
FC Gandzasar Clean Sheet 10%
Shirak Gyumri Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gandzasar Shirak Gyumri
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 5 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 0.86 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Premier League
FC Gandzasar vs Shirak Gyumri
0:1
Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
FC Gandzasar vs Shirak Gyumri
3:2
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs FC Gandzasar
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Premier League
FC Gandzasar vs Shirak Gyumri
1:1
May 17, 2025 Premier League
FC Gandzasar vs Shirak Gyumri
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Gandzasar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Shirak Gyumri Compare

Top Goalscorer Sargsyan V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gandzasar 10 / 100
Shirak Gyumri 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gandzasar Shirak Gyumri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shirak Gyumri Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Shirak Gyumri conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Shirak Gyumri's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: FC Gandzasar scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Gandzasar VS Shirak Gyumri
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gandzasar

(Home)
10 Oct
Van
2 : 0
FC Gandzasar
18 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 3
Urartu
12 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 2
Ararat Yerevan
04 Sept
Noah
3 : 2
FC Gandzasar
30 Aug
FC Gandzasar
0 : 3
BKMA
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Shirak Gyumri

(Away)
20 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
1 : 3
Ararat-Armenia
13 Sept
Pyunik Yerevan
2 : 0
Shirak Gyumri
06 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
2 : 0
Sardarapat
29 Aug
Van
0 : 4
Shirak Gyumri
22 Aug
Shirak Gyumri
0 : 1
Urartu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noah 8 8 0 0 21:5 24
2 Ararat-Armenia 9 6 2 1 18:9 20
3 Pyunik Yerevan 8 5 3 0 18:8 18
4 Alashkert 9 4 4 1 19:7 16
5 Sardarapat 8 3 3 2 14:12 12
6 Urartu 8 3 2 3 12:10 11
7 Shirak Gyumri 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Ararat Yerevan 8 3 0 5 6:13 9
9 BKMA 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
10 Van 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
11 FC Gandzasar 9 1 0 8 8:22 3
12 Syunik 8 0 2 6 3:17 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027/2028 (Main)