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FC Gardabani vs Margveti 2006 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Diasamidze S.
66' Event
Iskandarov E.
(Penalty)
76' Event
Kaike Silva

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between FC Gardabani and Margveti 2006 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Gardabani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
FC Gardabani
15%
Draws
68%
Margveti 2006
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Margveti 2006

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Margveti 2006 come out ahead of FC Gardabani on wins alone.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Margveti 2006 taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
FC Gardabani Clean Sheet 10%
Margveti 2006 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gardabani Margveti 2006
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.75 1.46
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Liga 3
Margveti 2006 vs FC Gardabani
3:0
Apr 24, 2026 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Margveti 2006
4:1
Oct 23, 2025 Liga 3
Margveti 2006 vs FC Gardabani
2:1
May 23, 2025 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Margveti 2006
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Gardabani Compare

Top Goalscorer Diasamidze S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaike Silva
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Margveti 2006 Compare

Top Goalscorer Shavgulidze A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gardabani 10 / 100
Margveti 2006 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gardabani Margveti 2006

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Margveti 2006 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Margveti 2006's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: FC Gardabani scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.

FC Gardabani has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Gardabani VS Margveti 2006
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
3.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gardabani

(Home)
17 Sept
Margveti 2006
3 : 0
FC Gardabani
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
FC Gardabani
2 : 1
Betlemi Keda
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
20 Aug
FC Gardabani
1 : 2
Didube
Page 1 of 6

Margveti 2006

(Away)
17 Sept
Margveti 2006
3 : 0
FC Gardabani
10 Sept
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Margveti 2006
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Didube
0 : 3
Margveti 2006
20 Aug
Margveti 2006
2 : 1
Orbi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 22 16 3 3 63:11 51
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 22 14 7 1 54:14 49
3 Iberia 1999 2 22 11 8 3 34:16 41
4 Merani Tbilisi 22 11 6 5 37:27 39
5 WIT Georgia 23 11 5 7 37:25 38
6 Gonio 23 11 5 7 32:24 38
7 Orbi 22 10 4 8 36:25 34
8 Didube 22 9 7 6 34:28 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 22 9 5 8 34:30 32
10 Margveti 2006 22 9 3 10 30:35 30
11 Locomotive Tbilisi 22 7 7 8 27:28 28
12 Khobi 22 6 3 13 28:45 21
13 FC Gardabani 22 4 4 14 18:53 16
14 Iveria Khashuri 22 1 10 11 22:46 13
15 Betlemi Keda 22 3 4 15 13:54 13
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 22 2 5 15 18:56 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)