Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Gardabani vs Orbi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Khorava L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between FC Gardabani and Orbi finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orbi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Gardabani
20%
Draws
80%
Orbi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Orbi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Orbi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Orbi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Orbi have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FC Gardabani Clean Sheet 10%
Orbi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gardabani Orbi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.76 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.62 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 Liga 3
Orbi vs FC Gardabani
3:0
Mar 12, 2026 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Orbi
0:1
Nov 28, 2025 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Orbi
1:2
Jun 24, 2025 Liga 3
Orbi vs FC Gardabani
2:2
Sep 18, 2024 Liga 3
Orbi vs FC Gardabani
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Gardabani Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Orbi Compare

Top Goalscorer Khorava L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gardabani 10 / 100
Orbi 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gardabani Orbi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orbi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Orbi has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

FC Gardabani found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Difficult form: Orbi registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Gardabani VS Orbi
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
3.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gardabani

(Home)
13 Aug
Orbi
3 : 0
FC Gardabani
06 Aug
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
WIT Georgia
26 Jun
FC Gardabani
1 : 5
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
21 Jun
FC Gardabani
1 : 3
FC Tbilisi 2025
15 Jun
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
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Orbi

(Away)
13 Aug
Orbi
3 : 0
FC Gardabani
06 Aug
Betlemi Keda
1 : 1
Orbi
25 Jul
Orbi
1 : 4
Dinamo Batumi
24 Jun
FC Rustavi 2
2 : 3
Orbi
21 Jun
Merani Tbilisi
1 : 1
Orbi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Tbilisi 2025 17 13 4 0 45:9 43
2 Guria 17 11 3 3 47:11 36
3 Iberia 1999 2 17 10 5 2 27:10 35
4 Gonio 17 10 4 3 28:12 34
5 Orbi 17 9 3 5 30:16 30
6 Didube 17 8 5 4 29:20 29
7 WIT Georgia 17 8 4 5 27:15 28
8 Merani Tbilisi 17 7 5 5 23:23 26
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 17 7 3 7 25:23 24
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 17 5 5 7 16:22 20
11 Margveti 2006 17 5 3 9 17:32 18
12 Khobi 17 5 2 10 22:35 17
13 FC Gardabani 17 3 4 10 14:38 13
14 Iveria Khashuri 17 1 7 9 14:30 10
15 Betlemi Keda 17 2 4 11 10:39 10
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 17 0 3 14 11:50 3
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)