Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Bolnisi

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Central stadium, Sagaredzo
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Kilasonia V.
42' Event
Gugberidze B.
(Penalty)
45'
Kalandadze L.

AI Match Summary

FC Gareji Sagarejo in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Gareji Sagarejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Gareji Sagarejo
33%
Draws
27%
Bolnisi
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FC Gareji Sagarejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Gareji Sagarejo lately — more wins on the board than Bolnisi.
  • FC Gareji Sagarejo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
FC Gareji Sagarejo Clean Sheet 68%
Bolnisi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gareji Sagarejo Bolnisi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:1
Apr 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Bolnisi
2:0
Nov 22, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
2:2
Sep 14, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Bolnisi
3:0
May 28, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Gareji Sagarejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Chokheli N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bolnisi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gareji Sagarejo 50 / 100
Bolnisi 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gareji Sagarejo Bolnisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Gareji Sagarejo's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bolnisi conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

FC Gareji Sagarejo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Gareji Sagarejo VS Bolnisi
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gareji Sagarejo

(Home)
22 Jun
FC Gareji Sagarejo
1 : 2
Odishi 1919
17 Jun
FC Gareji Sagarejo
0 : 0
Shturmi
13 Jun
Gori
1 : 3
FC Gareji Sagarejo
30 May
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 2
Samtredia
24 May
Bolnisi
1 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
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Bolnisi

(Away)
18 Jul
Bolnisi
1 : 3
BKMA
22 Jun
Bolnisi
3 : 2
Samtredia
17 Jun
Dusheti
3 : 2
Bolnisi
13 Jun
Bolnisi
2 : 0
Merani Martvili
30 May
Kolkheti 1913
0 : 0
Bolnisi
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Gareji Sagarejo19116224:1239
2Telavi19105422:1535
3Merani Martvili1986523:2030
4Shturmi1969417:1427
5Dusheti1974818:2325
6Bolnisi1967625:2025
7Odishi 19191966723:2624
8Kolkheti 19131946924:2418
9Gori1937913:2416
10Samtredia19441125:3616
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)