Sport Picks
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Merani Martvili - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
FC Gareji Sagarejo host Merani Martvili in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. FC Gareji Sagarejo have averaged 1.32 scored and 1.18 conceded recently, against Merani Martvili's 1.07 scored and 1.36 conceded. Past meetings favor FC Gareji Sagarejo slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.50, favoring FC Gareji Sagarejo. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- FC Gareji Sagarejo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- FC Gareji Sagarejo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Gareji Sagarejo | Merani Martvili |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: FC Gareji Sagarejo scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Merani Martvili let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Away concern: Merani Martvili has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
FC Gareji Sagarejo
(Home)Merani Martvili
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Gareji Sagarejo | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 35:29 | 50 |
| 2 | Telavi | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 33:26 | 46 |
| 3 | Shturmi | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 31:23 | 46 |
| 4 | Samtredia | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 51:40 | 40 |
| 5 | Merani Martvili | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 31:36 | 37 |
| 6 | Odishi 1919 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 30:37 | 35 |
| 7 | Dusheti | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 31:41 | 35 |
| 8 | Bolnisi | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 35:37 | 33 |
| 9 | Gori | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 29:36 | 30 |
| 10 | Kolkheti 1913 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 34:35 | 28 |