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FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Merani Martvili - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Central stadium, Sagaredzo
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Gareji Sagarejo host Merani Martvili in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. FC Gareji Sagarejo have averaged 1.32 scored and 1.18 conceded recently, against Merani Martvili's 1.07 scored and 1.36 conceded. Past meetings favor FC Gareji Sagarejo slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.50, favoring FC Gareji Sagarejo. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
FC Gareji Sagarejo
15%
Draws
51%
Merani Martvili
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Merani Martvili

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Gareji Sagarejo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FC Gareji Sagarejo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FC Gareji Sagarejo Clean Sheet 16%
Merani Martvili Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gareji Sagarejo Merani Martvili
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.32 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Martvili vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:2
May 20, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Merani Martvili
1:0
Apr 3, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Martvili vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:0
Oct 27, 2023 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Merani Martvili
6:1
Aug 18, 2023 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Martvili vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gareji Sagarejo 36 / 100
Merani Martvili 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gareji Sagarejo Merani Martvili

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merani Martvili Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: FC Gareji Sagarejo scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Merani Martvili let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Away concern: Merani Martvili has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Gareji Sagarejo VS Merani Martvili
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gareji Sagarejo

(Home)
10 Oct
Odishi 1919
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
20 Sept
Shturmi
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
16 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
2 : 1
Gori
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
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Merani Martvili

(Away)
10 Oct
Gori
2 : 1
Merani Martvili
20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0
Merani Martvili
16 Sept
Merani Martvili
2 : 1
Bolnisi
12 Sept
Merani Martvili
3 : 1
Dusheti
06 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
2 : 0
Merani Martvili
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 28 14 8 6 35:29 50
2 Telavi 28 12 10 6 33:26 46
3 Shturmi 28 12 10 6 31:23 46
4 Samtredia 28 12 4 12 51:40 40
5 Merani Martvili 28 10 7 11 31:36 37
6 Odishi 1919 28 9 8 11 30:37 35
7 Dusheti 28 10 5 13 31:41 35
8 Bolnisi 28 8 9 11 35:37 33
9 Gori 28 7 9 12 29:36 30
10 Kolkheti 1913 28 6 10 12 34:35 28
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)