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FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Shevardeni Tbilisi

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022
Sun, Oct 30, 2022
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Gareji Sagarejo host Shevardeni Tbilisi in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: FC Gareji Sagarejo at 1.25 goals for, 1.22 against; Shevardeni Tbilisi at 1.14 for, 1.43 against. Past meetings favor FC Gareji Sagarejo slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 30, 2022, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.42 xG vs 0.88) point toward FC Gareji Sagarejo. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FC Gareji Sagarejo
20%
Draws
29%
Shevardeni Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Gareji Sagarejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • FC Gareji Sagarejo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
FC Gareji Sagarejo Clean Sheet 20%
Shevardeni Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gareji Sagarejo Shevardeni Tbilisi
Matches Played 32 7
Wins 15 2
Draws 9 1
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.25 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Shevardeni Tbilisi
0:0
Sep 9, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shevardeni Tbilisi vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
0:0
May 28, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Shevardeni Tbilisi
0:0
Apr 1, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shevardeni Tbilisi vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
0:3
Oct 24, 2021 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shevardeni Tbilisi vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gareji Sagarejo 36 / 100
Shevardeni Tbilisi 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gareji Sagarejo Shevardeni Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shevardeni Tbilisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shevardeni Tbilisi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 7 matches.

FC Gareji Sagarejo scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

FC Gareji Sagarejo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Gareji Sagarejo VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gareji Sagarejo

(Home)
20 Sept
Shturmi
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
16 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
2 : 1
Gori
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
29 Aug
Merani Martvili
1 : 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo
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Shevardeni Tbilisi

(Away)
22 May
Shevardeni Tbilisi
0 : 1
Merani Martvili
16 May
FC Zugdidi
0 : 0
Shevardeni Tbilisi
10 May
Shevardeni Tbilisi
2 : 3
Spaeri
05 May
Shukura
2 : 1
Shevardeni Tbilisi
28 Apr
Samtredia
1 : 2
Shevardeni Tbilisi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shukura 28 19 3 6 52:23 60
2 Spaeri 28 15 6 7 57:35 51
3 Samtredia 28 14 6 8 43:28 48
4 Merani Martvili 28 12 6 10 55:53 42
5 FC Gareji Sagarejo 28 10 6 12 38:36 36
6 Merani Tbilisi 28 10 4 14 34:56 34
7 FC Rustavi 28 6 5 17 34:54 23
8 WIT Georgia 28 5 6 17 30:58 21
9 FC Zugdidi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Shevardeni Tbilisi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2022 (Relegation)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022 (Relegation)