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FC Gera 03 vs Erfurt II Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2011/2012 game between FC Gera 03 and Erfurt II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erfurt II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
FC Gera 03
15%
Draws
51%
Erfurt II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erfurt II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Erfurt II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Gera 03 a 34% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
FC Gera 03 Clean Sheet 18%
Erfurt II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gera 03 Erfurt II
Matches Played 16 31
Wins 2 10
Draws 2 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.81 1.65
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt II vs FC Gera 03
0:0
Nov 19, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
FC Gera 03 vs Erfurt II
1:2
Mar 7, 2010 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt II vs FC Gera 03
1:2
Aug 30, 2009 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
FC Gera 03 vs Erfurt II
2:3
Apr 29, 2009 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
FC Gera 03 vs Erfurt II
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gera 03 85 / 100
Erfurt II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gera 03 Erfurt II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Gera 03 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erfurt II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Erfurt II's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

FC Gera 03's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Erfurt II
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gera 03

(Home)
10 Dec
Dresden II
3 : 0
FC Gera 03
03 Dec
Piesteritz
1 : 2
FC Gera 03
27 Nov
FC Gera 03
2 : 2
Jena II
19 Nov
FC Gera 03
1 : 2
Erfurt II
04 Nov
Lokomotive Leipzig
6 : 0
FC Gera 03
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Erfurt II

(Away)
12 Jun
Bischofswerdaer
6 : 1
Erfurt II
05 Jun
Erfurt II
1 : 6
Bernburg
20 May
Schott Jena
3 : 2
Erfurt II
15 May
Erfurt II
2 : 0
Eisenach
08 May
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 2
Erfurt II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zwickau 26 18 6 2 71:20 60
2 Auerbach 26 15 7 4 47:30 52
3 Erfurt II 26 14 4 8 40:35 46
4 Dresden II 26 12 8 6 51:36 44
5 Jena II 26 12 8 6 39:32 44
6 Lokomotive Leipzig 26 13 3 10 40:27 42
7 Chemnitzer II 26 11 6 9 39:28 39
8 Fortuna Chemnitz 26 9 10 7 47:48 37
9 Bautzen 26 9 9 8 34:30 36
10 Aue II 26 9 4 13 43:42 31
11 Luckenwalde 26 7 3 16 38:55 24
12 Gotha 26 3 9 14 26:65 18
13 Piesteritz 26 4 4 18 27:63 16
14 Halle 26 4 3 19 22:53 15
15 FC Gera 03 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Borea Dresden 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2012/2013 (Main)