Sport Picks
FC Gomel vs Dnepr Mogilev
Belarus
Vysshaya Liga Centralnyj Stadion, Gomel 
Match Events
14'
14'
Martynov T.
36'
36'
Simanenka T.
Assist: Sotnikov V.
57'
57'
Sub
Denisyuk A. In: Zabelin K.
Out: Denisyuk A.
AI Match Summary
The Vysshaya Liga game between FC Gomel and Dnepr Mogilev finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Gomel.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
35%
15%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Gomel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and FC Gomel come out ahead of Dnepr Mogilev on wins alone.
- FC Gomel are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and FC Gomel have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
FC Gomel Clean Sheet 68%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Gomel | Dnepr Mogilev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 20, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
FC Gomel vs Dnepr Mogilev
2:0
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Gomel
1:2
Mar 7, 2025 Club Friendly
FC Gomel vs Dnepr Mogilev
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
FC Gomel vs Dnepr Mogilev
1:1
May 27, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Gomel
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Gomel Compare
Top Goalscorer Simanenka T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sotnikov V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Dnepr Mogilev Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Gomel 95 / 100
Dnepr Mogilev 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Gomel Dnepr Mogilev
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Gomel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dnepr Mogilev has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
FC Gomel scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Solid form: FC Gomel remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
FC Gomel VS Dnepr Mogilev
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Gomel
(Home) 20 Sept
FK Baranovici
0 : 2 FC Gomel
13 Sept
Isloch Minsk
2 : 1 FC Gomel
05 Sept
Zhodino
1 : 2 FC Gomel
28 Aug
FC Gomel
1 : 0 Belshina
22 Aug
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 0 FC Gomel
Page 1 of 6
28 Aug
FC Gomel
1 : 0 Belshina
15 Aug
FC Gomel
6 : 0 Naftan
09 Aug
FC Gomel
0 : 1 FC Minsk
01 Aug
FC Gomel
0 : 1 Vitebsk
25 Jul
FC Gomel
1 : 2 Vitebsk
Page 1 of 4
Dnepr Mogilev
(Away) 20 Sept
Dynamo Brest
4 : 2 Dnepr Mogilev
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1 ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1 Dnepr Mogilev
30 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 0 Isloch Minsk
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0 Dnepr Mogilev
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Dynamo Brest
4 : 2 Dnepr Mogilev
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1 Dnepr Mogilev
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0 Dnepr Mogilev
07 Aug
Slavia Mozyr
3 : 0 Dnepr Mogilev
25 Jul
Zhodino
1 : 2 Dnepr Mogilev
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isloch Minsk | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 45 |
| 2 | ML Vitebsk | 21 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 42:17 | 44 |
| 3 | Din. Minsk | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 37:16 | 43 |
| 4 | Dynamo Brest | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 38:23 | 40 |
| 5 | FC Gomel | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 33:18 | 39 |
| 6 | Neman | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 37 |
| 7 | Vitebsk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 28:21 | 36 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 30:28 | 34 |
| 9 | Zhodino | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 28:29 | 27 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23:26 | 25 |
| 11 | FK Baranovici | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:38 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 24:41 | 23 |
| 13 | Belshina | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22:36 | 21 |
| 14 | BATE | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 16:27 | 18 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 20:36 | 16 |
| 16 | Naftan | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20:54 | 14 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)
