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FC Gomel vs Dynamo Brest

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Centralnyj Stadion, Gomel
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Sub
Yuzepchuk R. In: Rylach A.
Out: Yuzepchuk R.
23' Event
Sotnikov V.
Assist: Lisakovich D.
68'
Sub
Grechikho D. In: Kovalevich D.
Out: Grechikho D.

AI Match Summary

FC Gomel in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Gomel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
FC Gomel
20%
Draws
33%
Dynamo Brest
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Gomel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Gomel average 1.57 goals a game right now, well clear of Dynamo Brest's 1.55.
  • FC Gomel are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • FC Gomel have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
FC Gomel Clean Sheet 68%
Dynamo Brest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gomel Dynamo Brest
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
FC Gomel vs Dynamo Brest
2:1
Feb 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Dynamo Brest vs FC Gomel
3:1
Nov 7, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
FC Gomel vs Dynamo Brest
3:0
Jun 21, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Dynamo Brest vs FC Gomel
0:1
Sep 27, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
FC Gomel vs Dynamo Brest
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Gomel Compare

Top Goalscorer Sotnikov V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simanenka T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Dynamo Brest Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gomel 95 / 100
Dynamo Brest 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gomel Dynamo Brest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Gomel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Gomel scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: FC Gomel stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Dynamo Brest let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Gomel VS Dynamo Brest
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gomel

(Home)
13 Sept
Isloch Minsk
2 : 1
FC Gomel
05 Sept
Zhodino
1 : 2
FC Gomel
28 Aug
FC Gomel
1 : 0
Belshina
22 Aug
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 0
FC Gomel
15 Aug
FC Gomel
6 : 0
Naftan
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Dynamo Brest

(Away)
13 Sept
Din. Minsk
0 : 1
Dynamo Brest
07 Sept
Dynamo Brest
1 : 0
BATE
29 Aug
Dynamo Brest
1 : 3
ML Vitebsk
23 Aug
FK Baranovici
1 : 1
Dynamo Brest
16 Aug
Dynamo Brest
1 : 2
Isloch Minsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 21 13 6 2 36:16 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 20 12 4 4 35:16 40
4 Dynamo Brest 22 11 4 7 34:21 37
5 FC Gomel 22 10 6 6 31:18 36
6 Neman 21 10 4 7 24:19 34
7 FC Minsk 23 10 4 9 30:28 34
8 Vitebsk 22 9 6 7 22:21 33
9 Zhodino 21 7 6 8 28:23 27
10 Slavia Mozyr 21 6 7 8 23:25 25
11 FK Baranovici 22 6 7 9 24:36 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 23 5 8 10 24:41 23
13 Belshina 22 5 6 11 22:36 21
14 BATE 21 3 9 9 16:25 18
15 Dnepr Mogilev 22 2 10 10 18:32 16
16 Naftan 22 2 5 15 19:54 11
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)