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FC Gomel vs Vitebsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup Centralnyj Stadion, Gomel
FC Gomel Logo

FC Gomel

Sat, Jul 25, 2026
1 - 2
03:00 PM
Vitebsk Logo

Vitebsk

Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Gavrilovich A.
44' Event
Chervyakov Z.
46'
Sub
Gavrilovich A. In: Martinkevich V.
Out: Gavrilovich A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
FC Gomel
15%
Draws
31%
Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Gomel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • FC Gomel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FC Gomel's way, sitting at 42%.
  • FC Gomel have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vitebsk, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
FC Gomel Clean Sheet 20%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gomel Vitebsk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.48 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.83 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
FC Gomel vs Vitebsk
0:1
Jul 25, 2026 Belarusian Cup
FC Gomel vs Vitebsk
1:2
Mar 20, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs FC Gomel
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Vitebsk vs FC Gomel
0:0
Sep 15, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
FC Gomel vs Vitebsk
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Gomel Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinkevich V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Vitebsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Chervyakov Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anufriev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gomel 42 / 100
Vitebsk 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gomel Vitebsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Gomel scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Vitebsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

FC Gomel went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FC Gomel VS Vitebsk
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gomel

(Home)
02 Oct
FC Gomel
1 : 0
Belshina
20 Sept
FK Baranovici
0 : 2
FC Gomel
13 Sept
Isloch Minsk
2 : 1
FC Gomel
05 Sept
Zhodino
1 : 2
FC Gomel
28 Aug
FC Gomel
1 : 0
Belshina
Page 1 of 6

Vitebsk

(Away)
03 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 0
Vitebsk
20 Sept
Vitebsk
6 : 0
Zhodino
12 Sept
Vitebsk
1 : 1
Belshina
04 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
3 : 0
Vitebsk
28 Aug
Vitebsk
2 : 0
Naftan
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Shchuchyn 3
FK Lida 4
TBD -
Zhodino -
BGU Minsk 0
Osipovichi 2
TBD -
Dnepr Mogilev -
Technolog Mogilev 0
FC Slonim 6
TBD -
Isloch Minsk -
Polotsk 0
Uni X Labs 2
TBD -
FK Baranovici -
Bobovnya 0
BumProm Gomel 2
TBD -
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk -
Leskhoz 0
Soligorsk 3
TBD -
Neman -
Drut Belynichi 0
Orsha 7
TBD -
Naftan -
Urozhaynaya 0
Molodechno 3
TBD -
BATE -
Gazovik Vitebsk 1
Volna Pinsk 4
TBD -
Slavia Mozyr -
Stanles Pinsk 1
Krumkachy 4
TBD -
Dynamo Brest -
Neman Mosty 1
Niva Dolbizno 4
TBD -
FC Gomel -
Krechet 0
Ostrovets 8
TBD -
Vitebsk -
Ivatsevichi 1
Slutsk 3
TBD -
Din. Minsk -
Minskoe More 0
SKA-1938 Minsk 3
TBD -
ML Vitebsk -
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 1
Nadezhda Baranovici 0
TBD -
Belshina -
Vertical Kalinkovichi 0
Smorgon 7
TBD -
FC Minsk -
1/16-finals
FK Lida 0
Zhodino 4
Osipovichi 1
Dnepr Mogilev 3
FC Slonim 0
Isloch Minsk 1
Uni X Labs 1
FK Baranovici 4
BumProm Gomel 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
Soligorsk 1
Neman 2
Orsha 3
Naftan 2
Molodechno 1
BATE 4
Volna Pinsk 0
Slavia Mozyr 5
Krumkachy 0
Dynamo Brest 5
Niva Dolbizno 2
FC Gomel 3
Ostrovets 2
Vitebsk 3
Slutsk 0
Din. Minsk 2
SKA-1938 Minsk 3
ML Vitebsk 5
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 1
Belshina 8
Smorgon 3
FC Minsk 4
1/8-finals
Zhodino 1
Dnepr Mogilev 2
Isloch Minsk 1
FK Baranovici 2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 2
Neman 3
Orsha -
BATE -
Slavia Mozyr 2
Dynamo Brest 1
FC Gomel 1
Vitebsk 2
Din. Minsk -
ML Vitebsk -
Belshina 1
FC Minsk 2
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -