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Stadium Background

FC Gomel W vs Smorgon W

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Women Centralnyj Stadion, Gomel
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Tikhanovich Y.
41'
Udot K.
52'
Sub
Petrochenko A. In: Bakun J.
Out: Petrochenko A.

AI Match Summary

FC Gomel W in this Vysshaya Liga Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Gomel W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
FC Gomel W
15%
Draws
21%
Smorgon W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Gomel W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Gomel W lately — more wins on the board than Smorgon W.
  • FC Gomel W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • FC Gomel W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58.6%
FC Gomel W Clean Sheet 10%
Smorgon W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Gomel W Smorgon W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 1
Draws 2 1
Losses 23 27
Goals Scored 0.6 0.17
Goals Conceded 4.07 7.59
Expected Goals (xG) 3.67 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Vysshaya Liga Women
Smorgon W vs FC Gomel W
0:3
Mar 29, 2026 Vysshaya Liga Women
FC Gomel W vs Smorgon W
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Vysshaya Liga Women
FC Gomel W vs Smorgon W
3:0
Jun 9, 2024 Vysshaya Liga Women
FC Gomel W vs Smorgon W
1:1
Apr 24, 2024 Vysshaya Liga Women
Smorgon W vs FC Gomel W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Gomel W Compare

Top Goalscorer Savitskaya E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.82
Avg xA / game 1.83

Smorgon W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Gomel W 65 / 100
Smorgon W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Gomel W Smorgon W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Gomel W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smorgon W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Smorgon W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: FC Gomel W scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Gomel W VS Smorgon W
0 Goals Scored 0
4.5 Goals Conceded 6.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Gomel W

(Home)
15 Aug
Smorgon W
0 : 3
FC Gomel W
08 Aug
Dyussh-Polesgu W
1 : 0
FC Gomel W
19 Jul
FC Gomel W
0 : 5
Belshina W
12 Jul
Vitebsk W
7 : 0
FC Gomel W
27 Jun
FC Gomel W
0 : 8
Din. Minsk W
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Smorgon W

(Away)
15 Aug
Smorgon W
0 : 3
FC Gomel W
10 Aug
Smorgon W
1 : 1
Belshina W
19 Jul
Smorgon W
0 : 5
Vitebsk W
11 Jul
Smorgon W
0 : 9
Din. Minsk W
27 Jun
Smorgon W
0 : 6
Minsk FK W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Minsk FK W 13 12 1 0 65:5 37
2 Dynamo Brest W 13 12 0 1 43:7 36
3 Vitebsk W 13 8 1 4 29:13 25
4 Din. Minsk W 11 8 0 3 43:8 24
5 Naftan W 12 8 0 4 36:16 24
6 Dnepr Mogilev W 12 7 2 3 45:12 23
7 SKA-1938 Minsk W 13 6 0 7 21:16 18
8 Belshina W 13 3 2 8 21:34 11
9 FC Gomel W 13 3 1 9 7:54 10
10 Belarus U19 W 13 2 2 9 13:46 8
11 Dyussh-Polesgu W 13 2 0 11 5:51 6
12 Smorgon W 13 0 1 12 2:68 1
Promotion - Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Qualification - First stage)