Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Guantanamo vs FC La Habana

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC La Habana in this Liga Nacional tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
FC Guantanamo
22%
Draws
18%
FC La Habana
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: FC Guantanamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Guantanamo average 1.88 goals a game right now, well clear of FC La Habana's 1.38.
  • FC Guantanamo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor FC La Habana, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FC La Habana have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
FC Guantanamo Clean Sheet 20%
FC La Habana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Guantanamo FC La Habana
Matches Played 39 38
Wins 21 21
Draws 10 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs FC La Habana
0:1
Jun 3, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC La Habana vs FC Guantanamo
2:0
May 13, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs FC La Habana
2:0
Nov 16, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs FC La Habana
0:1
Oct 15, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC La Habana vs FC Guantanamo
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Guantanamo 58 / 100
FC La Habana 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Guantanamo FC La Habana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Guantanamo scored in 77% of their last 39 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

FC Guantanamo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FC La Habana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 38 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Guantanamo VS FC La Habana
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Guantanamo

(Home)
12 Jul
FC Guantanamo
0 : 1
FC La Habana
14 Jun
CF Granma
0 : 6
FC Guantanamo
07 Jun
FC Guantanamo
1 : 1
FC Holguin
24 May
FC Guantanamo
1 : 0
FC Santiago de Cuba
17 May
FC Holguin
2 : 3
FC Guantanamo
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FC La Habana

(Away)
12 Jul
FC Guantanamo
0 : 1
FC La Habana
21 Jun
FC La Habana
3 : 1
Isla de La Juventud
14 Jun
Pinar del Rio
2 : 2
FC La Habana
28 May
FC La Habana
5 : 2
Artemisa
17 May
Isla de La Juventud
3 : 0
FC La Habana
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
FC Guantanamo0
FC La Habana1