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FC Hegelmann vs Dziugas Telsiai

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Raudondvario stadionas
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Hegelmann play Dziugas Telsiai in the TOPLYGA. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Hegelmann averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Dziugas Telsiai averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, FC Hegelmann won 2, Dziugas Telsiai won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 17, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for FC Hegelmann and 1.69 for Dziugas Telsiai. This points to a Dziugas Telsiai double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FC Hegelmann
35%
Draws
34%
Dziugas Telsiai
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dziugas Telsiai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Hegelmann picked up more points recently compared to Dziugas Telsiai.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
FC Hegelmann Clean Sheet 13%
Dziugas Telsiai Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Hegelmann Dziugas Telsiai
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.23 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs Dziugas Telsiai
1:1
May 1, 2026 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs FC Hegelmann
3:0
Feb 28, 2026 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs Dziugas Telsiai
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Hegelmann vs Dziugas Telsiai
2:0
Oct 23, 2025 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs Dziugas Telsiai
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Hegelmann Compare

Top Goalscorer Armanavicius V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Dziugas Telsiai Compare

Top Goalscorer Sobowale R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Hegelmann 31 / 100
Dziugas Telsiai 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Hegelmann Dziugas Telsiai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dziugas Telsiai or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Hegelmann attacking → ← attacking Dziugas Telsiai

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Hegelmann scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Dziugas Telsiai let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

FC Hegelmann went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dziugas Telsiai lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 45
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Suduva1979321:1630
2Dziugas Telsiai1986528:2230
3Transinvest1885527:2229
4FK Kauno Zalgiris1877431:1528
5Zalgiris1984727:2128
6Banga1876519:1327
7FC Hegelmann19310620:2919
8FK Panevezys19541018:3419
9FA Siauliai19271018:3713
10Riteriai00000:00