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FC Hegelmann vs Suduva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Raudondvario stadionas, Raudondvario
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Stockunas E.
34' Event
Seck I.
45'
Sadauskas R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
FC Hegelmann
35%
Draws
32%
Suduva
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Suduva lately — more wins on the board than FC Hegelmann.
  • FC Hegelmann are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
FC Hegelmann Clean Sheet 10%
Suduva Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Hegelmann Suduva
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 4 14
Draws 11 7
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs Suduva
1:1
Jul 20, 2026 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs FC Hegelmann
5:1
May 16, 2026 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs Suduva
2:2
Mar 14, 2026 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs FC Hegelmann
0:0
Nov 8, 2025 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs Suduva
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Hegelmann Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Suduva Compare

Top Goalscorer Seck I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Hegelmann 40 / 100
Suduva 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Hegelmann Suduva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Hegelmann scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Suduva let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Suduva registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Hegelmann VS Suduva
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Hegelmann

(Home)
31 Oct
FC Hegelmann
1 : 4
FK Kauno Zalgiris
24 Oct
Transinvest
2 : 0
FC Hegelmann
18 Oct
Zalgiris
4 : 1
FC Hegelmann
20 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Suduva
13 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 0
FC Hegelmann
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Suduva

(Away)
19 Oct
Suduva
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
10 Oct
Zalgiris
4 : 0
Suduva
29 Sept
Jagiellonia
5 : 0
Suduva
20 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Suduva
13 Sept
Suduva
0 : 0
Zalgiris
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 31 16 10 5 61:21 58
2 Zalgiris 31 15 6 10 49:35 51
3 Suduva 30 13 11 6 39:30 50
4 Transinvest 31 14 7 10 48:39 49
5 Banga 30 11 9 10 33:30 42
6 Dziugas Telsiai 31 11 9 11 42:46 42
7 FK Panevezys 31 11 5 15 33:46 38
8 FC Hegelmann 32 4 14 14 33:58 26
9 FA Siauliai 31 4 9 18 26:59 21
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)