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FC Holguin vs CF Granma

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
FC Holguin Logo

FC Holguin

1 - 0
FT
CF Granma Logo

CF Granma

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between FC Holguin and CF Granma finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Holguin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
FC Holguin
20%
Draws
30%
CF Granma
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Holguin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Holguin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Holguin a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
FC Holguin Clean Sheet 18%
CF Granma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Holguin CF Granma
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.3 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs CF Granma
1:0
May 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Holguin
3:2
Mar 29, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs CF Granma
2:0
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Holguin
1:1
Feb 10, 2024 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Holguin
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Holguin 67 / 100
CF Granma 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Holguin CF Granma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Holguin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Holguin scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: CF Granma conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

FC Holguin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Holguin VS CF Granma
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Holguin

(Home)
14 Jun
FC Santiago de Cuba
3 : 1
FC Holguin
07 Jun
FC Guantanamo
1 : 1
FC Holguin
24 May
FC Holguin
1 : 0
CF Granma
17 May
FC Holguin
2 : 3
FC Guantanamo
10 May
FC Holguin
0 : 0
FC Santiago de Cuba
Page 1 of 6

CF Granma

(Away)
14 Jun
CF Granma
0 : 6
FC Guantanamo
24 May
FC Holguin
1 : 0
CF Granma
17 May
FC Santiago de Cuba
1 : 0
CF Granma
10 May
FC Guantanamo
3 : 2
CF Granma
03 May
CF Granma
3 : 2
FC Holguin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC La Habana 11 7 3 1 21:12 24
2 Artemisa 12 4 4 4 18:19 16
3 Isla de La Juventud 11 3 2 6 10:16 11
4 Pinar del Rio 10 2 3 5 11:13 9
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cienfuegos 12 6 4 2 20:11 22
2 FC Villa Clara 12 6 4 2 16:7 22
3 Matanzas 12 3 3 6 10:13 12
4 Mayabeque Guines 12 2 3 7 11:26 9
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Tunas 12 7 1 4 20:13 22
2 FC Ciego de Avila 12 6 2 4 16:9 20
3 FC Camaguey 11 5 2 4 17:14 17
4 FC Sancti Spiritus 11 1 3 7 3:20 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Guantanamo 12 8 3 1 25:6 27
2 FC Santiago de Cuba 11 4 3 4 12:11 15
3 FC Holguin 12 3 4 5 12:19 13
4 CF Granma 11 2 2 7 9:22 8
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)