Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Holguin vs CF Granma

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Holguin play CF Granma in the Liga Nacional. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Holguin averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. CF Granma averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, FC Holguin won 2, CF Granma won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 24, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for FC Holguin and 1.31 for CF Granma. This points to a FC Holguin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
FC Holguin
29%
Draws
25%
CF Granma
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: FC Holguin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • FC Holguin picked up more points recently compared to CF Granma.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
FC Holguin Clean Sheet 18%
CF Granma Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Holguin CF Granma
Matches Played 35 27
Wins 15 7
Draws 10 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.34 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs CF Granma
1:0
May 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Holguin
3:2
Mar 29, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs CF Granma
2:0
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Holguin
1:1
Feb 10, 2024 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Holguin
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Holguin 45 / 100
CF Granma 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Holguin CF Granma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Holguin or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Holguin attacking → ← attacking CF Granma

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Holguin scored in 77% of their last 35 games.

CF Granma let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

FC Holguin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

CF Granma lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 26
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC La Habana1173121:1224
2Artemisa1244418:1916
3Isla de La Juventud1132610:1611
4Pinar del Rio1023511:139
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Cienfuegos1264220:1122
2FC Villa Clara1264216:722
3Matanzas1233610:1312
4Mayabeque Guines1223711:269
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Las Tunas1271420:1322
2FC Ciego de Avila1262416:920
3FC Camaguey1152417:1417
4FC Sancti Spiritus111373:206
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Guantanamo1283125:627
2FC Santiago de Cuba1143412:1115
3FC Holguin1234512:1913
4CF Granma112279:228