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FC Holguin vs FC Sancti Spiritus

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
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AI Match Summary

FC Holguin in this Liga Nacional 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Holguin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
FC Holguin
11%
Draws
9%
FC Sancti Spiritus
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: FC Holguin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Holguin have won more games recently than FC Sancti Spiritus.
  • Win probability leans FC Holguin's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and FC Holguin have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
FC Holguin Clean Sheet 68%
FC Sancti Spiritus Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Holguin FC Sancti Spiritus
Matches Played 34 27
Wins 14 3
Draws 10 5
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.13 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs FC Sancti Spiritus
2:0
Apr 30, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Sancti Spiritus vs FC Holguin
1:1
Mar 12, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs FC Sancti Spiritus
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Holguin 86 / 100
FC Sancti Spiritus 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Holguin FC Sancti Spiritus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Sancti Spiritus let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

FC Holguin scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: FC Holguin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Holguin VS FC Sancti Spiritus
1.13 Goals Scored 0.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos761014:219
2FC La Habana752011:217
3Matanzas740311:812
4Artemisa731315:810
5FC Villa Clara72146:117
6Isla de La Juventud72145:107
7Pinar del Rio71246:155
8Mayabeque Guines71064:163
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Santiago de Cuba742114:514
2FC Guantanamo742112:614
3FC Holguin74129:713
4FC Camaguey73319:412
5CF Granma73045:99
6FC Sancti Spiritus72142:67
7FC Ciego de Avila72145:107
8Las Tunas70253:122