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FC Hurth vs Ahrweiler

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Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Keshta Y.
55' Event
Keshta Y.
75' Event
Liontos A.

AI Match Summary

FC Hurth in this Club Friendly 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Hurth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
FC Hurth
35%
Draws
19%
Ahrweiler
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Hurth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Hurth lately — more wins on the board than Ahrweiler.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FC Hurth Clean Sheet 20%
Ahrweiler Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Hurth Ahrweiler
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 4
Draws 11 6
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.41 1
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2023 Club Friendly
FC Hurth vs Ahrweiler
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Hurth Compare

Top Goalscorer Keshta Y.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ahrweiler Compare

Top Goalscorer Liontos A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Hurth 32 / 100
Ahrweiler 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Hurth Ahrweiler

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Hurth found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Ahrweiler let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

FC Hurth went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Hurth VS Ahrweiler
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Hurth

(Home)
30 Aug
FC Hurth
0 : 0
Hennef
24 Jan
Baumberg
3 : 0
FC Hurth
15 Jun
SpVg Porz 1919
3 : 3
FC Hurth
09 Jun
FC Hurth
2 : 3
Frechen
01 Jun
VfL Vichttal
0 : 1
FC Hurth
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Ahrweiler

(Away)
05 Sept
TuS Koblenz
0 : 0
Ahrweiler
30 Aug
Ahrweiler
1 : 1
Engers
23 Aug
TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim
2 : 1
Ahrweiler
14 Aug
Ahrweiler
2 : 3
Emmelshausen-Karbach
08 Aug
RW Wittlich
2 : 0
Ahrweiler
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