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FC Hurth vs Frechen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Hurth host Frechen in the Oberliga Mittelrhein. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: FC Hurth at 1.41 goals for, 1.62 against; Frechen at 2.06 for, 2 against. Past meetings favor FC Hurth slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 9, 2025, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.43 vs 1.67, favoring Frechen. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Hurth
35%
Draws
25%
Frechen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Hurth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Frechen come out ahead of FC Hurth on wins alone.
  • FC Hurth are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
FC Hurth Clean Sheet 13%
Frechen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Hurth Frechen
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 15
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.41 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.62 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
FC Hurth vs Frechen
2:3
Dec 1, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Frechen vs FC Hurth
3:3
Dec 3, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
FC Hurth vs Frechen
1:0
Aug 13, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Frechen vs FC Hurth
3:1
Mar 26, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
FC Hurth vs Frechen
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Hurth 66 / 100
Frechen 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Hurth Frechen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Hurth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

FC Hurth's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Frechen conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: FC Hurth remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Hurth VS Frechen
0.86 Goals Scored 2.63
0.71 Goals Conceded 2
43% Over 1.5 100%
29% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Hurth

(Home)
04 Oct
Neunkirchen-Seelscheid
0 : 1
FC Hurth
27 Sept
FC Hurth
2 : 2
Chlodwig Zulpich
20 Sept
Merten
3 : 1
FC Hurth
13 Sept
FC Hurth
2 : 0
SpVg Porz 1919
06 Sept
1. FC Duren
0 : 0
FC Hurth
Page 1 of 6

Frechen

(Away)
04 Oct
Frechen
1 : 0
VfL Vichttal
27 Sept
Lindenthal-Hohenlind
2 : 2
Frechen
20 Sept
Frechen
2 : 2
Siegburger
13 Sept
Fortuna Koln II
5 : 2
Frechen
06 Sept
Neunkirchen-Seelscheid
3 : 1
Frechen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Wegberg-Beeck 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 6 4 1 1 18:9 13
3 Fortuna Koln II 5 4 0 1 13:7 12
4 Lindenthal-Hohenlind 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
5 Merten 6 3 1 2 19:10 10
6 Chlodwig Zulpich 6 3 1 2 16:17 10
7 FC Hurth 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
8 VfL Vichttal 6 2 2 2 16:11 8
9 Frechen 6 2 2 2 12:12 8
10 1. FC Duren 6 2 1 3 12:14 7
11 Hennef 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 Bornheim 6 2 0 4 11:16 6
13 SpVg Porz 1919 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
14 Siegburger 6 1 2 3 9:14 5
15 Neunkirchen-Seelscheid 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
16 Konigsdorf 5 0 0 5 6:27 0
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)