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FC Jarfalla vs Gefle

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Jarfallavallen, Jarfalla
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Khalil A.
17'
Saweris P.
36'
Lundstrom N.

AI Match Summary

FC Jarfalla in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Jarfalla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
FC Jarfalla
15%
Draws
59%
Gefle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gefle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gefle lately — more wins on the board than FC Jarfalla.
  • FC Jarfalla are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
FC Jarfalla Clean Sheet 10%
Gefle Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Jarfalla Gefle
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 7 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.43 1.19
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs FC Jarfalla
3:1
May 23, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FC Jarfalla vs Gefle
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Jarfalla Compare

Top Goalscorer Khalil A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ogestad O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Gefle Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Jarfalla 34 / 100
Gefle 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Jarfalla Gefle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gefle let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: FC Jarfalla scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: FC Jarfalla stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Jarfalla VS Gefle
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Jarfalla

(Home)
17 Sept
FC Jarfalla
5 : 0
Karlbergs
12 Sept
Gefle
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
05 Sept
FC Jarfalla
0 : 3
FBK Karlstad
29 Aug
FC Jarfalla
0 : 2
Assyriska FF
21 Aug
FC Stockholm Internazionale
2 : 0
FC Jarfalla
Page 1 of 6

Gefle

(Away)
16 Sept
Gefle
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
12 Sept
Gefle
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
05 Sept
Sollentuna
1 : 0
Gefle
29 Aug
Gefle
2 : 2
Karlstad
23 Aug
Assyriska FF
1 : 2
Gefle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 22 15 3 4 53:19 48
2 AFC Eskilstuna 22 13 4 5 41:29 43
3 Hammarby TFF 22 12 6 4 46:18 42
4 FC Arlanda 22 11 6 5 36:25 39
5 Karlstad 22 11 5 6 33:21 38
6 FBK Karlstad 22 11 5 6 36:32 38
7 Enkopings SK 22 12 2 8 35:36 38
8 Assyriska FF 22 8 5 9 37:39 29
9 Karlbergs 22 8 4 10 29:36 28
10 Gefle 22 8 3 11 28:41 27
11 Umea FC 22 7 5 10 28:37 26
12 Vasalund 22 6 6 10 33:43 24
13 Sollentuna 22 5 8 9 21:31 23
14 FC Jarfalla 22 5 3 14 29:47 18
15 Pitea 22 3 6 13 24:43 15
16 IFK Stocksund 22 3 5 14 43:55 14
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)