Sport Picks
FC Jurmala vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
Latvia
Virslīga 2014 Daugavas stadions, Daugavpils 
Match Events
19'
19'
Volkovs V.
41'
41'
Silva D.
52'
52'
Kosmacovs J.
AI Match Summary
The Virslīga 2014 game between FC Jurmala and FC Daugava Daugavpils finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Daugava Daugavpils.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Daugava Daugavpils
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- FC Daugava Daugavpils carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives FC Daugava Daugavpils a 90% chance of winning this.
- Regular Virslīga 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
FC Jurmala Clean Sheet 10%
FC Daugava Daugavpils Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Jurmala | FC Daugava Daugavpils |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 1 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 24 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.50 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
1:1
Jul 7, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
2:3
May 17, 2014 Virsliga
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs FC Jurmala
1:0
Apr 9, 2014 Virsliga
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs FC Jurmala
2:0
Mar 23, 2014 Virsliga
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs FC Jurmala
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Jurmala Compare
Top Goalscorer Silva D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Montalvo B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
FC Daugava Daugavpils Compare
Top Goalscorer Volkovs V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kosmacovs J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Jurmala 10 / 100
FC Daugava Daugavpils 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Jurmala FC Daugava Daugavpils
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Daugava Daugavpils has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
FC Daugava Daugavpils lost 3 of their last 5 games.
FC Jurmala's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
FC Jurmala VS FC Daugava Daugavpils
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Jurmala
(Home) 08 Nov
BFC Daugavpils
4 : 2 FC Jurmala
01 Nov
FC Jurmala
1 : 7 Skonto
25 Oct
Jelgava
2 : 1 FC Jurmala
18 Oct
FC Jurmala
1 : 2 Spartaks Jurmala
04 Oct
FK Liepaja
6 : 0 FC Jurmala
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
FC Jurmala
1 : 7 Skonto
18 Oct
FC Jurmala
1 : 2 Spartaks Jurmala
27 Sept
FC Jurmala
1 : 0 FK Metta
12 Sept
FC Jurmala
1 : 1 FC Daugava Daugavpils
28 Aug
FC Jurmala
0 : 7 Ventspils
Page 1 of 3
FC Daugava Daugavpils
(Away) 08 Nov
Ventspils
4 : 0 FC Daugava Daugavpils
01 Nov
FK Liepaja
3 : 2 FC Daugava Daugavpils
26 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
5 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
17 Oct
FK Metta
0 : 1 FC Daugava Daugavpils
04 Oct
FC Daugava Daugavpils
0 : 1 Skonto
Page 1 of 7
08 Nov
Ventspils
4 : 0 FC Daugava Daugavpils
01 Nov
FK Liepaja
3 : 2 FC Daugava Daugavpils
17 Oct
FK Metta
0 : 1 FC Daugava Daugavpils
28 Sept
FK Daugava Riga
1 : 4 FC Daugava Daugavpils
12 Sept
FC Jurmala
1 : 1 FC Daugava Daugavpils
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ventspils | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 75:20 | 83 |
| 2 | Skonto | 36 | 25 | 1 | 10 | 77:34 | 71 |
| 3 | Jelgava | 36 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 57:27 | 70 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 36 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 72:45 | 66 |
| 5 | FC Daugava Daugavpils | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 53:39 | 65 |
| 6 | Spartaks Jurmala | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 38:32 | 51 |
| 7 | FK Daugava Riga | 36 | 13 | 4 | 19 | 48:64 | 43 |
| 8 | BFC Daugavpils | 36 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 29 |
| 9 | FK Metta | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26:69 | 16 |
| 10 | FC Jurmala | 36 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 29:110 | 7 |
Relegation - Virslīga 2014 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)