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FC Jurmala vs FK Daugava Riga

Latvia Latvia

Virslīga 2014
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Savenas M.
(Penalty)
53' Event
Zils V.
65' Event
Savenas M.

AI Match Summary

FK Daugava Riga in this Virslīga 2014 matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Daugava Riga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Jurmala
15%
Draws
85%
FK Daugava Riga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Daugava Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Daugava Riga have won more games recently than FC Jurmala.
  • Model gives FK Daugava Riga a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
FC Jurmala Clean Sheet 10%
FK Daugava Riga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Jurmala FK Daugava Riga
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 1 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 24 12
Goals Scored 0.66 1.48
Goals Conceded 3.62 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2014 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs FC Jurmala
0:0
Sep 19, 2014 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs FC Jurmala
3:1
Jul 13, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs FK Daugava Riga
0:6
May 23, 2014 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs FC Jurmala
3:0
Mar 29, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs FK Daugava Riga
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Jurmala Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FK Daugava Riga Compare

Top Goalscorer Zils V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Savenas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Jurmala 10 / 100
FK Daugava Riga 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Jurmala FK Daugava Riga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Daugava Riga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: FK Daugava Riga has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

FK Daugava Riga let in goals in 75% of their last 24 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

FC Jurmala found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

FC Jurmala VS FK Daugava Riga
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Jurmala

(Home)
08 Nov
BFC Daugavpils
4 : 2
FC Jurmala
01 Nov
FC Jurmala
1 : 7
Skonto
25 Oct
Jelgava
2 : 1
FC Jurmala
18 Oct
FC Jurmala
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
04 Oct
FK Liepaja
6 : 0
FC Jurmala
Page 1 of 6

FK Daugava Riga

(Away)
04 Apr
Jelgava
:
FK Daugava Riga
08 Nov
Skonto
4 : 1
FK Daugava Riga
01 Nov
FK Daugava Riga
1 : 3
Jelgava
26 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
1 : 0
FK Daugava Riga
20 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
2 : 4
FK Liepaja
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ventspils 36 26 5 5 75:20 83
2 Skonto 36 25 1 10 77:34 71
3 Jelgava 36 20 10 6 57:27 70
4 FK Liepaja 36 21 3 12 72:45 66
5 FC Daugava Daugavpils 36 19 8 9 53:39 65
6 Spartaks Jurmala 36 14 9 13 38:32 51
7 FK Daugava Riga 36 13 4 19 48:64 43
8 BFC Daugavpils 36 8 5 23 30:65 29
9 FK Metta 36 3 7 26 26:69 16
10 FC Jurmala 36 2 6 28 29:110 7
Relegation - Virslīga 2014 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)