Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Jurmala vs Jelgava

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2014/2015
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Jirgensons R.
35' Event
Jaudzems A.
39' Event
Kirilins A.

AI Match Summary

Jelgava in this Latvian Cup 2014/2015 tie, finishing 1-7. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Jurmala
15%
Draws
85%
Jelgava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jelgava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Jelgava have won more games recently than FC Jurmala.
  • Jelgava are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Jelgava arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Jelgava, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jelgava have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
FC Jurmala Clean Sheet 17%
Jelgava Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Jurmala Jelgava
Matches Played 29 38
Wins 1 15
Draws 4 8
Losses 24 15
Goals Scored 0.66 1.42
Goals Conceded 3.62 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2014 Virsliga
Jelgava vs FC Jurmala
2:1
Aug 13, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs Jelgava
0:2
Jul 20, 2014 Latvian Cup
FC Jurmala vs Jelgava
1:7
Jun 18, 2014 Virsliga
Jelgava vs FC Jurmala
5:0
Apr 26, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs Jelgava
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Jurmala Compare

Top Goalscorer Studans E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Jelgava Compare

Top Goalscorer Jirgensons R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jaudzems A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Jurmala 10 / 100
Jelgava 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Jurmala Jelgava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jelgava Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Jelgava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 37 matches.

FC Jurmala scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Difficult form: Jelgava registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jelgava
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Jurmala

(Home)
08 Nov
BFC Daugavpils
4 : 2
FC Jurmala
01 Nov
FC Jurmala
1 : 7
Skonto
25 Oct
Jelgava
2 : 1
FC Jurmala
18 Oct
FC Jurmala
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
04 Oct
FK Liepaja
6 : 0
FC Jurmala
Page 1 of 6

Jelgava

(Away)
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4
Jelgava
22 Aug
Ogre United
2 : 3
Jelgava
09 Aug
Jelgava
0 : 1
FK Auda Riga
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Jelgava -
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FC Jurmala -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saldus -
SFK United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Carnikava -
TBD -
Riga United 2
Rinuzi 7
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FK Daugava Riga -
Skonto -
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FK Metta -
FK 1625 Liepaja -
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FK Auda Riga -
RTU -
TBD -
Lielupe 0
Kuldigas NSS 9
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Valmiera -
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FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
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Preilu BJSS -
TBD -
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Upesciems -
TBD -
FK Dobele 0
Caramba 2
Salaspils FK -
TBD -
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RFS -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
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Grobina 4
Fortuna 2
TBD -
Balvu SC -
Ludzas NSS -
TBD -
Nica FC 1
FK Bandava 2
Dinamo Riga 1
DSVK Traktors 0
TBD -
Adazi -
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Ogre -
BFC Daugavpils -
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Rezekne -
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FK Laidze -
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FK Alberts 0
Monarhs 2
AFA Olaine -
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Tukums 2000 -
Gulbene -
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Jekabpils SC -
Plavinas -
TBD -
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Marienburg -
TBD -
Zelis Gulbene 0
Bebri 6
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Ventspils -
1/64-finals
Jelgava -
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FC Jurmala -
FK Smiltene -
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Saldus -
SFK United -
TBD -
FK Carnikava 4
Rinuzi 5
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FK Daugava Riga -
Skonto -
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FK Metta -
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
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FK Auda Riga -
RTU 4
Kuldigas NSS 2
TBD -
Valmiera -
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FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
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Preilu BJSS -
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Upesciems 2
Caramba 3
Salaspils FK -
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RFS -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
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Grobina 4
Balvu SC 3
Ludzas NSS 2
FK Bandava 3
Dinamo Riga 2
Adazi 0
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Ogre -
BFC Daugavpils -
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Rezekne -
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FK Laidze 1
Monarhs 8
AFA Olaine -
TBD -
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Tukums 2000 -
Gulbene -
TBD -
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Jekabpils SC -
Plavinas -
TBD -
Marienburg 0
Bebri 8
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Ventspils -
1/32-finals
Jelgava -
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FC Jurmala -
FK Smiltene 4
Saldus 0
SFK United 1
Rinuzi 2
TBD -
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FK Daugava Riga -
Skonto -
TBD -
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FK Metta -
FK 1625 Liepaja -
FK Auda Riga -
RTU 1
Valmiera 2
TBD -
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FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
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Preilu BJSS 2
Caramba 1
Salaspils FK 1
RFS 4
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
TBD -
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TBD -
Grobina 5
FK Bandava 2
Dinamo Riga 0
Ogre 4
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Monarhs -
AFA Olaine 0
Tukums 2000 1
Gulbene 4
Jekabpils SC 1
Plavinas 0
Bebri 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
1/16-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Jurmala -
FK Smiltene 2
Rinuzi 0
TBD -
FK Daugava Riga -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
FK 1625 Liepaja 3
Valmiera 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Preilu BJSS 2
RFS 5
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
TBD -
Grobina 2
Ogre 3
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
Rezekne 0
Tukums 2000 1
Gulbene 3
Bebri 0
TBD -
Ventspils -
1/8-finals
Jelgava 7
FC Jurmala 1
FK Smiltene 0
FK Daugava Riga 2
Skonto 2
FK Metta 0
FK 1625 Liepaja 0
FK Liepaja 6
Spartaks Jurmala 3
RFS 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils 0
Ogre 3
BFC Daugavpils 4
Tukums 2000 1
Gulbene 0
Ventspils 4
Quarter-finals
Jelgava -
FK Daugava Riga -
Skonto 1
FK Liepaja 2
Spartaks Jurmala 5
Ogre 0
BFC Daugavpils 0
Ventspils 3
Semi-finals
Jelgava 2
FK Liepaja 0
Spartaks Jurmala 1
Ventspils 2
Final
Jelgava 2
Ventspils 0